Danville
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #180
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #49
Ben Davis Regional Rank #15
South Putnam Sectional Rank #15
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/28 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 1,336 1,295 1,315 1,265 1,270
Team Adjusted Rating 1,295 1,315 1,265 1,270
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
395  Natalie Dayharsh 11 21:06 20:33 20:56 20:38 20:53 21:17 22:24 21:05 21:10
1,389  Rachel Clark 10 23:25 22:27 23:53 23:28 23:04 23:55 23:26
Erin Seders 10 24:20 25:26 23:44 24:08 24:16 24:21 24:35
Jenna Conrad 9 24:36 25:14 24:09 24:35 24:10 24:43 25:05
Toby Kult 11 26:08 26:03 26:11 24:49 25:37 27:08 27:14
Mariya Shearin 11 26:59 26:51 27:24 27:18 26:27
Mira Rosenbergerova 12 27:36 28:22 27:00
Sophia Smith 12 28:24 30:39 30:56 28:07 27:48 27:30 28:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 8.5 211 4.6 16.3 29.1 26.5 23.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 77.1% 98.4 77.1% 77.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 100% 31.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.8 3.0 3.7 100.0% 100.0%
Rachel Clark 3.4% 65.8 3.4% 3.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 13.6 0.2 1.3 2.6 3.5 5.4 6.2 8.0 8.6 8.4 10.1 9.2 10.3 7.3 6.8 5.8 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
Rachel Clark 38.2