All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Crown Point Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
530 |
727 |
640 |
540 |
573 |
513 |
532 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
571 |
640 |
540 |
573 |
513 |
532 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Crown Point Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 83 |
Holly Shaginaw |
12 |
19:27 |
19:41 |
19:34 |
19:44 |
19:50 |
19:47 |
19:53 |
19:19 |
| 208 |
Christina Shaginaw |
12 |
20:23 |
20:47 |
19:51 |
20:15 |
20:20 |
20:32 |
20:36 |
|
| 211 |
Sydney Belk |
9 |
20:24 |
20:18 |
20:31 |
20:48 |
20:37 |
20:06 |
20:09 |
|
| 536 |
Elena Polizotto |
12 |
21:31 |
|
22:55 |
21:36 |
21:52 |
21:27 |
21:15 |
|
| 929 |
Paige Solivais |
9 |
22:27 |
22:42 |
23:46 |
22:04 |
22:25 |
22:08 |
22:28 |
|
| 1,368 |
Lilly Butler |
10 |
23:22 |
24:14 |
23:05 |
23:41 |
24:06 |
23:18 |
23:05 |
|
|
Mikayla Fuentes |
9 |
23:42 |
24:49 |
24:19 |
23:28 |
24:12 |
23:17 |
23:41 |
|
|
Mary Bonner |
11 |
24:24 |
24:33 |
24:37 |
24:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hailey Kerlin |
12 |
25:25 |
25:31 |
25:34 |
25:17 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.1 |
285 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
9.0 |
15.9 |
17.7 |
17.3 |
13.0 |
11.5 |
6.8 |
4.4 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.3 |
97 |
|
0.7 |
17.8 |
36.4 |
45.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
69 |
|
1.7 |
98.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Holly Shaginaw |
91.9% |
76.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
91.9% |
91.9% |
| Christina Shaginaw |
1.7% |
129.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
1.7% |
| Sydney Belk |
1.2% |
126.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
1.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Holly Shaginaw |
100% |
18.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
7.9 |
7.0 |
6.0 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Christina Shaginaw |
100% |
41.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Belk |
100% |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Elena Polizotto |
100% |
110.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.1% |
| Paige Solivais |
100% |
151.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.8% |
| Lilly Butler |
100% |
175.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Holly Shaginaw |
100% |
6.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
6.2 |
14.1 |
20.2 |
24.1 |
18.8 |
13.3 |
0.7 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Christina Shaginaw |
100% |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
2.3 |
25.0 |
29.7 |
22.1 |
10.1 |
5.1 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Belk |
100% |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
2.1 |
22.8 |
28.8 |
22.5 |
11.7 |
4.7 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Elena Polizotto |
100% |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Paige Solivais |
100% |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lilly Butler |
100% |
54.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Holly Shaginaw |
4.7 |
0.1 |
1.7 |
5.3 |
17.9 |
33.6 |
41.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Christina Shaginaw |
7.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
45.7 |
38.8 |
9.2 |
3.5 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sydney Belk |
7.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
41.8 |
39.2 |
11.9 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elena Polizotto |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
11.2 |
11.8 |
8.8 |
4.9 |
| Paige Solivais |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
3.8 |
| Lilly Butler |
34.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
