Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #48
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #12
Crown Point Regional Rank #5
Gavit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/12 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 576 448 478 502 478 858 591 681 566 641
Team Adjusted Rating 448 478 502 478 575 591 681 566 641
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
276  Hannah Roth 11 20:41 20:21 20:47 20:22 20:25 20:47 21:00 20:54 20:42
385  Taylor Kosiek 9 21:03 21:05 20:55 21:00 20:51 21:17 21:22 20:52 21:07
398  Lillian Zubeck 11 21:06 20:25 20:25 21:05 21:07 21:13 20:50 22:59
443  Abigail Martisek 10 21:15 20:40 20:38 21:21 20:56 21:05 21:49 21:20 21:44
463  Emily Thomas 10 21:18 20:56 21:01 20:46 20:44 21:26 21:50 21:37 21:33
507  Carly Davis 9 21:26 21:37 21:19 21:39 21:16 21:29 21:17 21:32
525  Gabrielle DeVries 12 21:29 20:49 20:55 20:50 22:29 21:45 21:44 21:33
629  Riley Knestrict 10 21:45 21:10 22:07 21:57 21:43 21:34 21:44 21:52
673  Krista Kulacz 9 21:51 23:02 22:41 22:03 21:30 21:42 21:23
743  Madelyn Sternfeldt 9 22:01 21:29 22:38 22:03 21:20 22:23
1,146  Rachel Kujawa 11 22:53 23:08 22:41 22:55
1,180  Abigail Barrett 9 22:56 23:21 23:29 22:45 23:24 22:52 22:21
1,349  Lilly Rizzo 11 23:19 23:50 22:59 23:14 23:24 23:15
1,384  Emily Marcotte 9 23:24 25:19 23:46 22:44 23:32 23:04
Cora Lane 23:46 23:49
Elizabeth Reyes 11 23:46 23:18 24:00 23:48 24:06 23:27
Kylie Carroll 9 23:51 23:17 23:50 25:15 24:18 23:50 23:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.2 300 0.2 2.2 6.4 8.3 13.1 14.5 12.4 12.0 8.2 8.2 6.5 5.9 1.8 0.6
Regionals 100% 4.1 97 4.2 26.9 25.8 43.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.8 35 16.2 83.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 0.1% 141.0 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 55.8 0.1 100.0%
Taylor Kosiek 100% 77.7 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 80.4 100.0%
Abigail Martisek 100% 91.9 100.0%
Emily Thomas 100% 94.2 99.8%
Carly Davis 100% 104.6 99.4%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 107.6 99.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 13.0 0.1 0.3 6.2 9.8 13.6 20.5 17.3 11.8 6.5 4.5 2.6 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Taylor Kosiek 100% 18.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.9 6.8 9.0 10.0 9.8 9.1 7.5 6.3 5.8 6.2 4.1 3.7 3.0 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 19.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 2.0 4.8 6.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 7.8 7.7 7.0 5.6 5.7 5.7 4.7 100.0%
Abigail Martisek 100% 23.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.3 3.7 5.6 5.2 5.6 5.7 6.0 5.8 7.0 6.9 6.0 100.0%
Emily Thomas 100% 24.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 2.6 3.3 3.9 5.1 5.6 4.7 5.5 6.4 6.8 6.4 100.0%
Carly Davis 100% 27.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.3 2.8 4.0 4.5 5.8 4.9 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.6 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 4.5 0.5 17.4 69.8 10.0 2.0 0.4 0.1
Taylor Kosiek 6.1 0.1 0.8 7.6 40.0 25.3 13.7 7.9 3.3 1.3 0.2
Lillian Zubeck 6.6 0.2 5.4 26.6 31.2 17.8 10.7 5.5 2.3 0.4 0.3
Abigail Martisek 7.9 0.1 1.5 9.3 17.2 25.2 21.7 15.8 7.0 1.6 0.7 0.2
Emily Thomas 8.4 0.5 7.6 13.6 19.9 23.8 18.6 11.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
Carly Davis 9.6 0.3 1.7 5.0 10.9 17.4 25.4 26.9 7.2 4.7 0.6
Gabrielle DeVries 10.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 8.2 13.9 22.1 31.5 11.9 6.8 1.1