All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
County Challenge |
Marion Invitational |
Oak Hill Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Grant 4 |
New Haven Invitational |
Central Indiana Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
9/1 |
9/4 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/18 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
1,072 |
1,250 |
|
|
1,284 |
|
1,297 |
1,193 |
|
1,260 |
1,194 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,250 |
|
|
1,164 |
|
1,138 |
1,051 |
|
1,114 |
1,054 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
County Challenge |
Marion Invitational |
Oak Hill Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Grant 4 |
New Haven Invitational |
Central Indiana Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 295 |
Aurora Fisher |
11 |
20:43 |
21:09 |
20:55 |
|
20:55 |
20:14 |
20:52 |
20:22 |
|
21:09 |
20:52 |
20:34 |
| 577 |
Carli Fones |
11 |
21:37 |
23:49 |
22:29 |
22:27 |
23:17 |
|
21:42 |
21:46 |
21:59 |
21:45 |
21:15 |
21:35 |
| 744 |
Raegan Tippey |
11 |
22:02 |
22:40 |
22:52 |
22:29 |
21:50 |
21:31 |
21:52 |
21:54 |
22:01 |
21:46 |
22:11 |
|
|
Chloe Saylor |
11 |
24:42 |
24:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lynnzey Young |
10 |
25:52 |
25:17 |
|
29:03 |
25:39 |
|
27:59 |
25:49 |
27:02 |
26:38 |
25:25 |
|
|
Ashlyn Morical |
10 |
29:37 |
29:31 |
29:32 |
28:42 |
28:41 |
|
29:59 |
30:03 |
29:36 |
29:33 |
30:13 |
|
|
Kara Dawson |
9 |
29:53 |
29:19 |
30:05 |
|
30:41 |
|
32:23 |
29:25 |
30:26 |
29:56 |
29:22 |
|
|
Cameron Lessley |
10 |
30:19 |
31:17 |
32:11 |
|
31:44 |
|
|
30:33 |
31:29 |
30:49 |
29:48 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.2 |
184 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.6 |
78.7 |
16.6 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.7 |
104 |
|
|
29.4 |
68.7 |
2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Aurora Fisher |
0.0% |
128.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Aurora Fisher |
100% |
71.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Carli Fones |
92.9% |
117.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.9% |
92.9% |
| Raegan Tippey |
41.1% |
133.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41.1% |
41.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Aurora Fisher |
100% |
12.5 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
9.6 |
11.3 |
11.4 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
10.4 |
6.4 |
3.1 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Carli Fones |
100% |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
4.0 |
7.9 |
9.5 |
9.9 |
8.6 |
10.6 |
8.1 |
7.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Raegan Tippey |
100% |
29.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Aurora Fisher |
5.1 |
|
2.0 |
7.4 |
18.7 |
20.3 |
18.8 |
21.9 |
10.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carli Fones |
9.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
5.4 |
29.3 |
22.1 |
16.9 |
12.3 |
9.5 |
3.3 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Raegan Tippey |
12.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
5.7 |
11.1 |
15.4 |
21.2 |
35.8 |
8.1 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
