All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/8 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
679 |
874 |
791 |
720 |
701 |
667 |
674 |
696 |
733 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
808 |
730 |
720 |
679 |
656 |
638 |
696 |
733 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conf. |
Elkhart Central Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 248 |
Alison Bache |
11 |
20:34 |
21:04 |
20:59 |
20:44 |
20:23 |
20:26 |
20:30 |
20:29 |
20:33 |
| 351 |
Keeton LeBaron |
10 |
20:55 |
22:00 |
21:11 |
21:20 |
21:31 |
21:11 |
20:27 |
21:32 |
21:57 |
| 408 |
Clare Ritchie |
9 |
21:10 |
21:05 |
21:13 |
21:24 |
21:18 |
20:33 |
20:56 |
21:15 |
21:33 |
| 811 |
Caitlin Clark |
11 |
22:10 |
|
|
22:03 |
|
|
22:53 |
22:02 |
21:54 |
| 856 |
Hayley Troyer |
9 |
22:16 |
22:57 |
22:26 |
22:17 |
21:41 |
22:20 |
|
22:17 |
|
| 871 |
Ann Metzger |
11 |
22:18 |
23:17 |
23:12 |
22:21 |
22:32 |
22:22 |
22:14 |
22:03 |
22:02 |
|
Riley Demeter |
10 |
23:37 |
|
|
23:00 |
|
24:08 |
23:20 |
24:15 |
23:27 |
|
Julia Stuckey |
11 |
24:37 |
25:09 |
24:36 |
24:49 |
24:42 |
24:31 |
24:26 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.4 |
401 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
5.5 |
11.0 |
18.6 |
47.3 |
10.3 |
3.2 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.8 |
127 |
|
0.2 |
6.4 |
25.8 |
54.3 |
12.3 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
75 |
9.1 |
25.9 |
54.5 |
9.6 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alison Bache |
0.3% |
126.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alison Bache |
100% |
63.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Keeton LeBaron |
100% |
83.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
| Clare Ritchie |
100% |
95.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.9% |
| Caitlin Clark |
100% |
141.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.0% |
| Hayley Troyer |
100% |
144.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.8% |
| Ann Metzger |
100% |
145.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alison Bache |
100% |
13.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
7.1 |
8.7 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Keeton LeBaron |
100% |
19.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
8.2 |
9.2 |
11.0 |
12.1 |
13.1 |
8.5 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Clare Ritchie |
100% |
22.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
6.9 |
8.5 |
12.5 |
15.3 |
14.0 |
9.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Caitlin Clark |
100% |
46.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
95.7% |
| Hayley Troyer |
100% |
49.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
91.4% |
| Ann Metzger |
100% |
51.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.6% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alison Bache |
5.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
16.4 |
18.5 |
18.7 |
17.7 |
16.6 |
9.3 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Keeton LeBaron |
8.7 |
|
|
|
0.9 |
2.8 |
5.3 |
7.9 |
14.0 |
26.4 |
24.3 |
10.9 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
| Clare Ritchie |
10.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
8.7 |
21.1 |
32.5 |
14.4 |
7.7 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
| Caitlin Clark |
24.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
5.5 |
| Hayley Troyer |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
6.6 |
| Ann Metzger |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
|
