All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
310 |
234 |
296 |
272 |
774 |
424 |
318 |
356 |
315 |
329 |
334 |
341 |
339 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
234 |
296 |
272 |
310 |
326 |
318 |
356 |
315 |
294 |
310 |
341 |
339 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 68 |
Ellie Jankowski |
12 |
19:20 |
19:05 |
19:35 |
19:17 |
|
|
19:37 |
20:07 |
19:31 |
19:10 |
19:25 |
19:15 |
19:11 |
| 84 |
Brooke Neal |
11 |
19:28 |
19:28 |
19:22 |
19:19 |
|
19:28 |
19:21 |
19:29 |
19:27 |
19:33 |
19:36 |
19:18 |
19:42 |
| 134 |
Aislynn Alkire |
11 |
19:58 |
19:39 |
20:07 |
19:49 |
|
20:13 |
20:05 |
20:23 |
19:51 |
19:44 |
19:53 |
21:07 |
19:49 |
| 259 |
Haley Makowski |
10 |
20:37 |
20:02 |
20:17 |
20:21 |
|
20:14 |
20:35 |
20:33 |
20:43 |
20:33 |
|
21:03 |
21:19 |
| 275 |
Mackenzie Holland |
9 |
20:41 |
21:51 |
21:14 |
21:17 |
|
21:22 |
20:38 |
20:54 |
20:41 |
|
20:35 |
20:32 |
20:32 |
| 309 |
Nourra Miss |
11 |
20:47 |
|
|
|
20:52 |
21:04 |
21:38 |
20:42 |
20:39 |
|
22:05 |
20:32 |
21:15 |
| 336 |
Nicole Marshall |
10 |
20:52 |
20:02 |
20:39 |
20:27 |
|
|
|
|
21:19 |
|
21:07 |
|
|
| 376 |
Morgan Gannon |
9 |
21:01 |
20:48 |
20:29 |
20:40 |
|
21:21 |
20:52 |
21:05 |
20:59 |
|
21:00 |
21:15 |
21:20 |
| 556 |
Kayla Edgerly |
10 |
21:35 |
22:49 |
21:51 |
|
21:51 |
21:54 |
21:15 |
21:12 |
21:25 |
21:26 |
|
|
|
| 572 |
Anne Loughran |
12 |
21:37 |
22:04 |
|
|
21:17 |
21:49 |
|
21:35 |
21:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 573 |
Stella Dimarzio |
12 |
21:37 |
|
21:33 |
21:47 |
|
21:39 |
21:32 |
|
21:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 605 |
Reagan Hoke |
10 |
21:42 |
21:38 |
22:21 |
21:59 |
|
21:49 |
21:20 |
22:03 |
21:33 |
21:16 |
|
|
|
| 622 |
Katie Cassbon |
10 |
21:44 |
21:39 |
21:26 |
|
|
22:32 |
21:38 |
21:55 |
21:27 |
21:43 |
|
|
|
| 754 |
Hannah Cussen |
10 |
22:02 |
21:50 |
22:39 |
22:20 |
|
23:00 |
21:41 |
21:43 |
21:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 852 |
Nikki Jerzak |
9 |
22:16 |
21:11 |
22:27 |
|
|
|
21:54 |
23:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 887 |
Cassidy Cripe |
11 |
22:21 |
22:46 |
23:13 |
|
22:14 |
22:13 |
21:51 |
22:22 |
22:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 999 |
Riley Keppler |
11 |
22:36 |
22:48 |
22:18 |
|
22:29 |
22:06 |
|
22:44 |
23:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,086 |
Megan Ungerecht |
10 |
22:47 |
22:52 |
22:40 |
|
22:46 |
22:42 |
22:22 |
23:44 |
22:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,113 |
Aman Kaur |
11 |
22:49 |
|
23:23 |
|
22:45 |
22:37 |
|
22:49 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,167 |
Adriana Juarez |
11 |
22:55 |
22:54 |
22:51 |
|
23:03 |
22:35 |
23:15 |
22:47 |
23:04 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,307 |
Sheela Soni |
9 |
23:13 |
24:00 |
|
|
24:49 |
23:15 |
22:46 |
23:16 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,403 |
Gwynyth Gates |
11 |
23:27 |
|
|
|
|
23:42 |
22:55 |
24:00 |
23:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paige Barnes |
11 |
23:49 |
24:25 |
23:26 |
|
25:10 |
23:31 |
|
23:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Olivia Boverhuis |
11 |
24:03 |
24:33 |
25:10 |
|
23:30 |
23:53 |
23:29 |
23:47 |
24:59 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
17.7 |
418 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
6.2 |
6.3 |
8.0 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
13.5 |
10.3 |
7.8 |
6.2 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.7 |
182 |
|
0.3 |
1.7 |
6.2 |
20.2 |
64.8 |
6.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
39 |
95.1 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
96.8 |
3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Jankowski |
100% |
65.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
90.5% |
| Brooke Neal |
100% |
78.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
78.8% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
100% |
119.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.7% |
| Haley Makowski |
100% |
161.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
100% |
165.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Nourra Miss |
100% |
171.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Nicole Marshall |
100% |
175.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Jankowski |
100% |
19.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Brooke Neal |
100% |
22.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
100% |
36.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Haley Makowski |
100% |
64.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
100% |
68.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nourra Miss |
100% |
75.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Marshall |
100% |
79.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Jankowski |
100% |
3.0 |
0.5 |
12.6 |
35.9 |
31.0 |
15.0 |
3.7 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Brooke Neal |
100% |
3.9 |
0.1 |
4.5 |
17.1 |
31.1 |
29.6 |
11.8 |
4.7 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Aislynn Alkire |
100% |
6.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
5.6 |
22.7 |
23.6 |
26.9 |
9.3 |
5.5 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Haley Makowski |
100% |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6 |
2.4 |
5.0 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
7.9 |
9.7 |
9.2 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Holland |
100% |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
9.8 |
8.7 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nourra Miss |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
10.2 |
8.9 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
6.3 |
4.6 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Marshall |
100% |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
11.8 |
10.8 |
9.0 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellie Jankowski |
1.0 |
65.2 |
27.2 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brooke Neal |
1.5 |
26.3 |
52.7 |
14.8 |
5.2 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aislynn Alkire |
3.8 |
0.2 |
2.0 |
25.0 |
27.9 |
32.5 |
8.6 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Haley Makowski |
8.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
14.2 |
14.8 |
18.5 |
18.6 |
15.2 |
8.7 |
5.0 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Holland |
8.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
9.3 |
10.6 |
17.2 |
19.3 |
16.3 |
13.4 |
8.6 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nourra Miss |
9.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.5 |
3.3 |
7.0 |
10.9 |
13.6 |
19.8 |
21.4 |
16.9 |
5.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicole Marshall |
10.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
4.0 |
7.0 |
10.3 |
13.8 |
22.1 |
28.7 |
9.1 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
