All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invite |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/2 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
233 |
129 |
199 |
217 |
268 |
231 |
955 |
239 |
211 |
260 |
297 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
129 |
199 |
217 |
268 |
231 |
233 |
239 |
211 |
260 |
297 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invite |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 37 |
Elizabeth Stanhope |
12 |
19:01 |
18:27 |
19:09 |
18:31 |
19:21 |
19:04 |
|
18:50 |
19:01 |
19:09 |
19:10 |
| 56 |
Nia Taylor |
12 |
19:14 |
18:48 |
18:58 |
18:48 |
19:25 |
19:14 |
|
19:14 |
19:15 |
19:29 |
19:25 |
| 100 |
Jessica Velez |
10 |
19:39 |
19:09 |
19:22 |
19:45 |
19:56 |
19:25 |
|
20:15 |
19:23 |
19:45 |
19:48 |
| 156 |
Cara Karmolinski |
10 |
20:06 |
20:30 |
20:31 |
20:06 |
20:10 |
20:09 |
|
19:39 |
20:08 |
20:10 |
20:12 |
| 177 |
Mary Hodges |
9 |
20:13 |
19:44 |
20:07 |
20:20 |
20:18 |
20:17 |
|
20:20 |
19:52 |
21:08 |
21:30 |
| 262 |
Katelin Schwab |
9 |
20:37 |
|
20:50 |
20:38 |
20:33 |
20:37 |
|
21:02 |
20:34 |
20:22 |
21:03 |
| 298 |
Sophia Thibault |
12 |
20:44 |
19:02 |
19:44 |
|
|
|
|
21:09 |
20:52 |
20:53 |
21:01 |
| 456 |
Ella Garvin |
10 |
21:17 |
21:08 |
20:47 |
21:56 |
21:39 |
21:31 |
20:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 665 |
Kennedy Kiger |
10 |
21:50 |
21:51 |
21:29 |
|
21:24 |
|
22:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 859 |
Chyane Dansby |
10 |
22:17 |
22:17 |
21:51 |
|
22:07 |
22:55 |
22:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,031 |
Brooklin Rose |
9 |
22:39 |
|
22:55 |
|
22:25 |
22:41 |
22:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,112 |
Kristiana Read |
9 |
22:49 |
22:48 |
22:57 |
|
22:23 |
22:50 |
23:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kristina Copher |
10 |
23:42 |
22:37 |
23:26 |
|
24:05 |
23:32 |
24:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Beiter |
11 |
24:12 |
|
25:09 |
|
23:48 |
24:45 |
23:29 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
11.0 |
318 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
3.7 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
10.4 |
9.1 |
8.0 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.2 |
153 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
5.0 |
22.7 |
33.4 |
25.8 |
7.8 |
3.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.7 |
96 |
1.1 |
5.5 |
26.9 |
57.5 |
8.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
49 |
6.8 |
85.2 |
8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Elizabeth Stanhope |
100% |
39.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
|
83.4% |
| Nia Taylor |
100% |
57.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
60.1% |
| Jessica Velez |
100% |
95.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.2% |
| Cara Karmolinski |
100% |
127.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Mary Hodges |
100% |
135.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Katelin Schwab |
100% |
162.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Sophia Thibault |
100% |
169.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Elizabeth Stanhope |
100% |
13.4 |
|
|
0.6 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Nia Taylor |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jessica Velez |
100% |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
|
99.4% |
| Cara Karmolinski |
100% |
54.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
80.9% |
| Mary Hodges |
100% |
58.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.9% |
| Katelin Schwab |
100% |
76.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.1% |
| Sophia Thibault |
100% |
82.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Elizabeth Stanhope |
100% |
6.4 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
8.0 |
12.6 |
12.0 |
10.6 |
10.7 |
8.5 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nia Taylor |
100% |
10.7 |
|
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
8.0 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jessica Velez |
100% |
21.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
7.5 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
8.3 |
7.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cara Karmolinski |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Mary Hodges |
100% |
31.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Katelin Schwab |
100% |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sophia Thibault |
100% |
44.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Elizabeth Stanhope |
3.7 |
2.5 |
12.0 |
21.0 |
20.8 |
16.4 |
12.2 |
7.2 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nia Taylor |
5.8 |
0.3 |
2.8 |
6.7 |
12.3 |
15.5 |
15.1 |
15.8 |
13.9 |
9.3 |
6.9 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jessica Velez |
9.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
8.5 |
14.0 |
21.2 |
32.8 |
10.3 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cara Karmolinski |
12.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
6.5 |
23.9 |
20.3 |
15.4 |
12.7 |
8.2 |
5.4 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Mary Hodges |
13.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
12.0 |
20.8 |
16.4 |
15.3 |
11.3 |
9.8 |
6.2 |
3.0 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
| Katelin Schwab |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
9.2 |
12.0 |
13.8 |
16.9 |
13.0 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
| Sophia Thibault |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
4.0 |
6.8 |
10.6 |
14.5 |
16.4 |
13.0 |
9.5 |
8.2 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
|
