All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Mustang Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Clay City Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Shakamak Invitational |
Southwestern Indiana Conf. |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/28 |
9/1 |
9/6 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
844 |
936 |
964 |
993 |
911 |
907 |
1,006 |
938 |
787 |
891 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
936 |
964 |
906 |
835 |
868 |
933 |
870 |
787 |
891 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Mustang Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Clay City Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Shakamak Invitational |
Southwestern Indiana Conf. |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 139 |
Jacy Collins |
11 |
19:59 |
19:51 |
20:30 |
20:17 |
19:45 |
20:00 |
20:24 |
20:17 |
20:07 |
19:45 |
20:14 |
| 675 |
Carly Reynolds |
10 |
21:51 |
22:24 |
22:13 |
22:14 |
22:21 |
22:10 |
22:06 |
21:58 |
21:28 |
22:09 |
|
| 960 |
Kyrstin Busenbark |
12 |
22:30 |
23:18 |
24:06 |
22:54 |
22:40 |
22:41 |
22:58 |
22:30 |
22:07 |
22:48 |
|
| 987 |
Jaci Stone |
9 |
22:34 |
22:32 |
22:26 |
22:36 |
21:56 |
22:27 |
23:02 |
22:41 |
22:11 |
23:11 |
|
| 1,091 |
Natalie Lang |
10 |
22:47 |
23:06 |
22:47 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:53 |
22:32 |
|
| 1,343 |
Jada Huff |
10 |
23:18 |
24:09 |
23:55 |
24:29 |
24:07 |
23:27 |
24:02 |
23:55 |
22:54 |
23:11 |
|
|
Hannah Walters |
11 |
24:45 |
24:40 |
24:48 |
24:42 |
25:27 |
24:19 |
24:29 |
24:39 |
24:58 |
24:54 |
|
|
Rebekah Messmer |
10 |
26:15 |
27:52 |
25:10 |
25:49 |
25:38 |
26:14 |
|
27:42 |
|
|
|
|
Lindsy Pierce |
12 |
26:37 |
27:41 |
27:35 |
25:40 |
|
26:28 |
26:18 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
14.3 |
387 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
6.4 |
22.6 |
28.1 |
24.3 |
15.9 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.8 |
169 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
43.4 |
37.9 |
15.9 |
2.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
80 |
0.1 |
46.7 |
38.2 |
14.5 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacy Collins |
42.8% |
110.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.8% |
42.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacy Collins |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Carly Reynolds |
100% |
106.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.4% |
| Kyrstin Busenbark |
100% |
133.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Jaci Stone |
100% |
135.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Natalie Lang |
100% |
142.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Jada Huff |
100% |
155.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacy Collins |
100% |
6.7 |
|
|
0.4 |
10.2 |
15.6 |
15.0 |
12.4 |
9.3 |
7.6 |
6.5 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Carly Reynolds |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyrstin Busenbark |
100% |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jaci Stone |
100% |
49.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Natalie Lang |
100% |
54.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jada Huff |
100% |
64.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacy Collins |
1.3 |
42.1 |
26.0 |
18.7 |
7.1 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carly Reynolds |
12.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3.8 |
9.2 |
23.0 |
19.7 |
16.2 |
11.3 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Kyrstin Busenbark |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
8.3 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
13.7 |
10.1 |
9.1 |
7.4 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
| Jaci Stone |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
6.2 |
8.9 |
9.6 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
11.0 |
10.2 |
8.7 |
5.9 |
| Natalie Lang |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
4.2 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
10.1 |
12.7 |
13.0 |
11.4 |
| Jada Huff |
29.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
|
