Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 31.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 254 225 240 771 264 273 282 255 257
Team Adjusted Rating 225 240 254 264 273 282 255 257
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
28  Ava Gilliana 11 18:55 19:20 18:41 21:31 19:00 19:06 18:47 18:46
85  Emily Worthington 10 19:32 19:15 19:15 19:19 19:40 19:44 19:53 19:29
105  Sarah Worthington 10 19:42 19:17 20:02 19:42 19:41 19:46 19:32 19:53
162  Lillian Maldia 9 20:08 19:43 20:03 20:32 20:20 20:22 20:06 20:00
227  Xanthi Tsagris 11 20:27 20:27 20:14 20:16 20:39 20:29 20:24 20:34
253  Aubree Foreman 9 20:35 20:28 20:21 20:34 20:31 20:40 20:54
283  Nicole Brandy 11 20:43 20:34 20:46 21:17 20:33 20:46 20:38 20:43
391  Adrianna McFadden 12 21:04 20:54 21:18 21:18 21:03 20:57
530  Abigail Artherhults 9 21:30 21:53 21:26 21:42 21:10
659  Hannah Shepherd 11 21:49 21:36 22:00
671  Corinne Ritzi 12 21:51 22:15 21:47 21:48 21:42
708  Sarah Bennett 10 21:55 21:54 21:50 22:00
721  Ruth Stamp 11 21:57 21:59 21:28 22:05 22:13
992  Kelsey Prewitt 12 22:34 22:19 22:56 22:28
1,056  Kristyn Hoffmann 11 22:42 23:35 22:03
1,129  Maryn Lazar 10 22:52 22:47 22:59 22:38 23:02
1,155  Anastasia Tsagris 11 22:54 23:46 22:48 23:04 22:16
1,163  Ella Wagner 9 22:55 22:49 22:50 23:09 22:51
1,262  Abby Steele 12 23:08 23:25 22:46 23:27 22:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.7 343 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.5 4.0 7.0 7.8 7.9 9.0 8.5 9.9 9.0 8.5 6.5 5.8 4.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.6 114 3.1 48.2 39.6 7.7 1.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.4 42 60.2 39.9
Sectionals 100% 1.4 38 62.1 37.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 30.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.9 1.1 2.2 1.2 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.4 1.8 2.4 3.3 2.8 2.7 2.3 2.5 100.0%
Emily Worthington 100% 83.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 80.2%
Sarah Worthington 100% 97.3 61.2%
Lillian Maldia 100% 129.7 10.4%
Xanthi Tsagris 100% 150.5 0.9%
Aubree Foreman 100% 159.2 0.2%
Nicole Brandy 100% 167.1 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 7.8 3.4 5.5 6.2 6.9 6.2 7.6 8.8 7.3 8.2 8.3 6.2 7.3 6.2 3.7 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Emily Worthington 100% 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.8 3.0 3.5 3.9 5.9 7.3 8.5 6.9 8.4 8.4 8.0 7.4 6.7 5.1 100.0%
Sarah Worthington 100% 22.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.1 3.0 4.8 4.8 6.5 8.0 8.6 8.9 8.0 8.2 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 33.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.3 3.5 100.0%
Xanthi Tsagris 100% 44.9 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Aubree Foreman 100% 50.8 99.7%
Nicole Brandy 100% 58.6 0.1 98.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 2.1 27.5 19.8 39.2 10.2 2.9 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Emily Worthington 100% 5.4 0.7 2.3 15.9 20.9 24.3 16.2 10.3 5.4 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Sarah Worthington 100% 6.8 0.2 0.3 4.0 10.9 17.4 22.4 17.8 12.2 7.6 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 11.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 5.2 10.8 14.1 14.4 13.2 10.5 9.1 7.0 4.9 3.7 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Xanthi Tsagris 100% 15.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.8 4.4 6.8 7.8 9.3 11.0 11.0 10.2 8.0 6.0 6.4 5.2 2.7 2.7 1.9 1.3 100.0%
Aubree Foreman 100% 17.8 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.8 6.3 7.2 7.8 10.3 10.5 8.7 8.0 7.5 6.8 5.3 3.9 2.8 100.0%
Nicole Brandy 100% 20.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.7 4.6 5.1 6.5 7.2 8.1 8.9 9.6 8.8 7.0 7.2 5.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 2.0 27.3 21.0 38.3 11.2 2.1 0.2 0.1
Emily Worthington 5.2 0.9 1.8 16.5 26.0 31.5 15.9 5.3 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
Sarah Worthington 6.4 0.2 0.5 4.6 9.9 23.5 32.2 16.2 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
Lillian Maldia 9.6 0.3 1.1 4.1 16.2 18.8 16.7 12.8 10.9 7.9 4.8 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Xanthi Tsagris 13.4 0.2 1.2 4.5 7.2 9.5 10.7 11.6 11.8 10.7 9.0 8.1 5.2 4.4 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2
Aubree Foreman 15.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.8 4.2 7.0 7.5 9.5 11.3 10.4 11.1 10.7 7.2 6.3 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.6
Nicole Brandy 17.6 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.7 3.8 7.5 8.3 8.7 10.7 9.4 12.2 10.2 8.3 5.8 4.5 3.1 1.7