Wawasee
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #86
New Haven Semi-State Rank #24
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #7
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Northwood Invitational Wildcat Classic New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/25 9/8 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 844 919 871 746 905 893 853
Team Adjusted Rating 919 871 746 905 893 853
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northwood Invitational Wildcat Classic New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
210  McKenzie Smith 12 20:23 20:36 20:59 20:42 20:55 20:55 20:29 20:08
707  Emma Ebright 10 21:55 21:50 21:44 21:36 22:12 21:38 22:33
797  Bailey Mayhew 10 22:08 22:42 21:46 21:35 22:12 22:11 22:23
912  Lily Tyler 9 22:24 23:38 22:57 22:25 22:27 23:02 22:01
1,200  Ella Beezley 10 22:59 22:53 23:00 23:29 23:30 23:41 22:35
1,335  Cammy Kryder 9 23:17 23:04 22:54 21:55 24:41 22:55 24:49
Katlin VanFleeren 9 23:35 24:10 23:51 23:06
Caitlin Wortinger 12 24:12 23:57 23:28 23:57 24:28 24:19 24:34
Devin Haskins 9 24:38 23:48 23:58 26:34 24:40
Autumn Turner 10 24:43 23:47 23:55 25:19 25:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.1 178 0.2 1.8 19.9 53.0 21.6 3.0 0.7
Sectionals 100% 5.0 120 0.3 2.0 21.4 51.1 25.3 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 0.9% 121.0 0.9% 0.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 100% 52.9 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Emma Ebright 25.9% 124.9 25.9% 25.9%
Bailey Mayhew 6.8% 133.0 6.8% 6.8%
Lily Tyler 0.4% 140.5 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 100% 10.4 0.1 0.1 1.6 4.7 8.9 16.8 13.0 11.7 8.4 7.0 6.1 4.8 5.0 3.9 2.6 2.3 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Emma Ebright 100% 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 99.1%
Bailey Mayhew 100% 44.5 0.1 0.2 96.0%
Lily Tyler 100% 53.9 81.2%
Ella Beezley 100% 69.5 17.1%
Cammy Kryder 100% 75.5 2.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 4.3 0.4 43.0 19.7 14.8 10.9 6.7 2.4 1.2 1.0 0.2
Emma Ebright 18.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.0 5.2 8.6 8.6 7.8 8.9 8.4 7.1 6.2 5.5 5.2 4.6 3.9
Bailey Mayhew 23.2 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.9 4.0 5.0 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.5 7.4 6.4 5.5
Lily Tyler 29.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.3 3.0 3.2 3.1 4.3 5.7
Ella Beezley 41.1 0.1
Cammy Kryder 45.8