All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Gavit Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Greater South Shore Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
504 |
502 |
492 |
489 |
484 |
498 |
553 |
545 |
517 |
583 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
502 |
492 |
489 |
484 |
498 |
553 |
545 |
517 |
583 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Gavit Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Greater South Shore Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 77 |
Hailey Orosz |
10 |
19:24 |
19:47 |
19:31 |
19:40 |
19:12 |
19:34 |
19:47 |
19:21 |
19:11 |
19:20 |
19:20 |
| 195 |
Emma Hellwege |
9 |
20:20 |
19:49 |
19:28 |
19:58 |
19:42 |
20:08 |
19:59 |
20:48 |
21:27 |
21:46 |
|
| 221 |
Amaya Turner |
10 |
20:25 |
20:33 |
19:56 |
20:22 |
20:27 |
20:49 |
20:35 |
20:19 |
20:24 |
20:28 |
|
| 349 |
Emily Gaylord |
10 |
20:54 |
20:53 |
21:03 |
20:53 |
20:54 |
20:59 |
21:04 |
20:53 |
20:35 |
21:02 |
|
| 1,040 |
Sarah Gerbick |
10 |
22:41 |
22:46 |
23:31 |
23:14 |
24:00 |
22:48 |
23:11 |
23:18 |
22:17 |
23:47 |
|
| 1,096 |
Shelby Stevens |
11 |
22:47 |
22:39 |
23:28 |
22:50 |
23:20 |
22:09 |
24:13 |
|
23:26 |
22:31 |
|
| 1,275 |
Dottie Heuring |
10 |
23:09 |
22:39 |
23:19 |
22:34 |
23:20 |
22:35 |
23:47 |
23:04 |
23:17 |
23:37 |
|
|
Megan Hall |
12 |
23:39 |
23:23 |
23:11 |
23:44 |
22:52 |
23:50 |
25:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jessica Missey |
10 |
24:10 |
23:36 |
25:14 |
23:49 |
24:06 |
23:56 |
24:11 |
24:38 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
8.5 |
260 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
5.1 |
28.2 |
25.7 |
17.3 |
10.7 |
5.5 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.2 |
102 |
|
|
83.5 |
12.7 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
92 |
|
|
84.5 |
13.3 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hailey Orosz |
95.0% |
72.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
95.0% |
95.0% |
| Emma Hellwege |
1.7% |
125.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
1.7% |
| Amaya Turner |
0.7% |
134.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
0.7% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hailey Orosz |
100% |
17.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
7.3 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Hellwege |
100% |
39.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Amaya Turner |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
99.9% |
| Emily Gaylord |
100% |
68.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
93.3% |
| Sarah Gerbick |
100% |
160.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Shelby Stevens |
100% |
163.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Dottie Heuring |
100% |
172.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hailey Orosz |
100% |
4.5 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
8.4 |
26.1 |
23.1 |
16.6 |
11.2 |
6.2 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Hellwege |
100% |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
5.8 |
7.8 |
10.3 |
11.3 |
12.6 |
9.8 |
9.6 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Amaya Turner |
100% |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
5.2 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Emily Gaylord |
100% |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
9.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Gerbick |
100% |
55.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.7% |
| Shelby Stevens |
100% |
57.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
90.5% |
| Dottie Heuring |
100% |
62.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Hailey Orosz |
4.4 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
7.9 |
27.1 |
28.4 |
15.8 |
11.4 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Hellwege |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
4.9 |
8.5 |
11.2 |
13.2 |
12.6 |
11.3 |
9.4 |
7.4 |
6.7 |
5.5 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
| Amaya Turner |
13.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
10.7 |
11.5 |
11.3 |
10.5 |
8.1 |
7.3 |
6.5 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Emily Gaylord |
20.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
8.3 |
9.0 |
11.9 |
13.3 |
12.2 |
10.4 |
8.9 |
5.2 |
| Sarah Gerbick |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Shelby Stevens |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dottie Heuring |
43.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
