Western
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #74
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #19
Culver Academies Regional Rank #5
Logansport Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 769 871 734 811 799 790 785 728 812 910
Team Adjusted Rating 767 734 811 799 790 785 728 812 910
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
460  Olivia Lushin 11 21:18 21:19 21:05 21:18 22:15 21:36 21:54 21:04 20:58 21:02
502  Natalie Nicholson 12 21:25 21:21 21:20 20:57 21:02 20:48 21:17 23:34 22:30
523  Hannah Lushin 11 21:28 21:42 21:19 21:39 21:14 21:32 21:27 21:11 21:26 21:53
815  Emma Marley 12 22:11 24:36 23:57 22:41 22:42 22:29 22:42 22:17 21:48 22:44
846  Megan Hampshire 12 22:15 21:49 21:30 22:21 22:00 22:17 22:02 22:05 23:04 22:48
934  Sarah Manuel 10 22:27 23:09 25:19 23:08 23:05 23:05 23:13 23:09 22:04
1,388  Alivia Ford 10 23:24 22:18 22:47 23:16 23:15 24:16 25:02 23:16 23:06 23:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 18.2 437 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.2 6.0 19.3 26.3 32.3 12.9
Regionals 100% 5.1 136 0.4 3.0 10.6 61.0 20.7 3.5 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 63 80.8 18.2 1.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 100% 93.9 85.8%
Natalie Nicholson 100% 103.0 73.7%
Hannah Lushin 100% 106.6 67.3%
Emma Marley 100% 141.6 3.9%
Megan Hampshire 100% 143.9 2.5%
Sarah Manuel 100% 151.8 0.3%
Alivia Ford 100% 175.3 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 100% 21.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 2.7 2.5 3.6 4.6 6.1 8.7 8.2 8.6 7.7 8.0 6.5 6.9 100.0%
Natalie Nicholson 100% 24.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.2 4.7 6.1 7.4 7.6 6.8 6.8 7.1 100.0%
Hannah Lushin 100% 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.4 5.1 5.3 5.2 7.3 8.5 6.7 100.0%
Emma Marley 100% 39.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Megan Hampshire 100% 41.8 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sarah Manuel 100% 47.5 100.0%
Alivia Ford 100% 66.2 81.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 7.6 0.4 1.1 3.3 6.1 10.5 17.4 20.2 17.0 10.8 6.6 3.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1
Natalie Nicholson 8.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 3.2 5.2 10.7 17.6 19.4 16.4 10.8 6.2 4.1 2.6 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hannah Lushin 9.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.2 8.7 13.9 16.6 20.6 12.9 9.2 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
Emma Marley 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.8 5.4 8.2 10.2 10.8 10.7 9.0 8.7 7.9 6.3 5.6 4.6 2.7 1.8
Megan Hampshire 18.3 0.1 1.0 1.7 3.8 5.0 8.1 10.0 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.3 8.8 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.0
Sarah Manuel 21.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.6 3.3 4.7 5.4 7.4 8.3 10.0 9.3 9.4 9.1 10.2
Alivia Ford 30.7 0.2 0.4