Carmel
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #3
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 19.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 95.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.7%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 144 168 89 156 166 134 241 168 343 177 156 163
Team Adjusted Rating 155 89 135 139 109 139 148 144 155 142 163
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
28  Jasmine Klopstad 9 18:58 19:15 18:55 18:53 19:04 18:28 19:09 19:00 18:58
38  Phoebe Bates 12 19:08 18:14 19:13 19:25
47  Brooke Waldal 11 19:14 18:52 18:54 19:09 18:48 20:15 19:11 19:22 19:28
50  Brooklynn Edwards 11 19:16 19:28 19:05 19:14 19:38 19:08 19:24 19:24 19:06 19:11
60  Alivia Romaniuk 10 19:20 19:29 19:26 19:12 19:01 19:19 19:20 19:29 19:24 19:25
73  Jamie Klavon 10 19:26 19:28 19:03 19:27 19:33 19:47 19:03 19:43 19:13 19:36
98  Annie Christie 11 19:37 19:37 19:48 19:06 19:19 20:21
115  Roni Ledezma 11 19:50 19:50 19:17 19:28 19:59 19:40 20:15 20:05
134  Emily Hand 12 19:58 18:46 20:12 19:58 19:59 19:57 20:00 19:54 20:19
189  Lilian Rose 10 20:12 23:04 20:24 20:12 19:44 20:00 20:16 20:10 20:10
212  Lily McAndrews 12 20:18 20:20 19:59 19:57 21:13
216  Abby Parker 11 20:19 20:35 20:12 20:12
249  Halle Welch 12 20:27 20:16 20:32 20:25 20:16 20:33 20:24 20:46
251  Madalyn Sailors 12 20:28 20:48 20:30 20:23 20:40 20:18 20:18 20:33
330  Elle Nichol 12 20:46 21:38 21:09 20:44 20:43 20:30 20:37
360  Sydney Haines 12 20:52 21:11 21:14 20:51 21:33 20:25 20:35
374  Evelyn Taller 10 20:53 21:04 21:02 20:57 20:57 20:57 20:48 20:45
402  Kierstyn Guerrant 12 21:00 21:04 20:38 20:57 21:20
440  Martha Hunter 12 21:07 21:17 21:09 20:30 21:38
454  Marianne Cadio 10 21:09 20:58 21:24 21:20 21:01
501  Savannah Hill 11 21:18 21:55 20:46 21:26 21:36 21:52 21:00 21:02
529  Evelyn Gordon 9 21:26 21:23 21:12 21:05 22:07 21:54 21:14
576  Mahalet Zeruesenay 11 21:33 21:45 21:29 21:27 21:55 21:17 21:38 21:35
600  Julia Fisher 10 21:37 21:30 21:30 21:38 21:44 21:45
614  Olivia McKee 10 21:39 20:54 21:19 21:25 23:24 21:19 22:42 21:31
627  Christina McCollum 9 21:40 21:42 22:05 21:05 22:20 22:27 21:04 21:29
667  Grace Barney 11 21:47 21:52 21:35 21:35 22:03 23:36 21:40 21:20
681  Tori Manlick 10 21:49 21:05 21:26 23:27
722  Ellie Marsella 10 21:54 21:50 22:02 21:43 22:07
818  Ria Patel 12 22:07 22:13 21:51 22:12 22:11 22:23 22:30 21:40
841  Kaitlin Langland 9 22:09 21:37 22:47 22:11 22:33 22:57 21:41 21:50
875  Laura Martens 9 22:14 22:01 22:26 22:17 22:27 22:23 22:07 22:05
895  Paige Ohrvall 12 22:16 22:39 22:14 22:06 21:51 22:53 21:41 22:47
937  Sophia Turner 10 22:21 22:01 22:07 22:13 22:35 22:27 22:24 22:37
1,004  Kayla Nelsen 12 22:31 23:12 22:38 22:23 22:46 22:40 22:24 22:09
1,063  Olivia Kinney 9 22:38 22:24 22:23 22:42 22:26 22:35 22:45 23:25
1,075  Meera Murthy 12 22:39 22:34 22:40 22:50 23:36 22:23 22:28
1,091  Olivia Lafferty 11 22:41 23:13 22:38 22:32 22:42 22:50 22:43 22:28
1,102  Yael Kiser 11 22:43 22:47 22:38 23:18 22:38 22:47 22:30
1,139  Sophia Hudak 9 22:48 22:51 22:52 22:15 23:50 24:03 21:40 22:42
1,205  Averi Weninger 9 22:55 22:18 23:49 22:33 22:39 23:10 23:22 22:49
1,222  Ella Ohrvall 10 22:58 23:07 22:40 22:26 23:40 23:03
1,283  Audrey Schuster 10 23:06 22:59 22:58 22:53 23:25 24:56 22:25
1,310  Savannah Paulson 9 23:10 22:35 23:06 22:47 23:53 23:19 23:27 23:00
1,354  Isabel Meyers 10 23:15 22:42 24:01 23:05 23:09 23:22 22:53 23:54
1,374  Lissa Heber 11 23:17 23:35 23:41 22:41
1,408  Emily Slade 10 23:23 23:20 22:51 23:01 23:34 23:32 23:52
1,424  Lauryn Forster 11 23:25 23:36 23:37 23:39 23:34 23:04 23:18 23:31
1,426  Darshini Shankar 9 23:26 23:53 23:36 23:37 23:17 23:11
Audrey Kaul 12 23:34 23:26 23:35 23:35 23:36 23:31 23:43
Grace Miller 10 23:40
Sadee Paulson 9 23:49 23:37 24:09 24:22 24:22 24:24 23:08 23:13
Emma Cappella 11 23:58 24:49 23:56 24:18 24:07 23:46 23:35
Piper Elling 9 24:06 22:03 25:07
Abby Kaufman 12 24:11 24:48 24:20 24:32 23:17
Haley Slosman 11 24:12 23:25 23:49 23:41 23:58 24:43 24:19 25:53
Meredith Steever 11 24:29 25:19 23:39 23:59 26:19 23:50 24:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 2.7 140 19.3 33.5 25.7 11.1 5.6 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.6 80 53.1 37.5 6.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 50 89.5 8.1 1.8 0.5 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.1 29 94.9 5.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 99.9% 29.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.0 2.8 0.0% 87.7%
Phoebe Bates 99.9% 40.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.9 0.0% 70.4%
Brooke Waldal 99.9% 50.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0% 55.7%
Brooklynn Edwards 99.9% 51.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.0% 52.9%
Alivia Romaniuk 99.9% 58.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0% 39.2%
Jamie Klavon 99.9% 65.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0% 29.3%
Annie Christie 99.9% 82.3 0.1 0.1 0.0% 10.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 12.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.6 1.9 3.6 4.6 4.9 7.2 8.5 7.7 7.5 7.1 6.4 5.1 4.6 4.6 4.1 3.4 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 100.0%
Phoebe Bates 100% 17.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.0 3.0 3.4 4.9 4.8 5.3 6.4 6.3 5.4 5.6 4.7 4.1 4.4 5.3 3.4 3.8 3.5 2.7 99.8%
Brooke Waldal 100% 21.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.2 5.5 5.5 4.4 4.2 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.6 98.9%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 21.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.2 2.1 3.1 2.6 4.4 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.9 6.1 4.0 4.4 4.5 98.8%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 25.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.7 2.2 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.4 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.5 3.8 98.2%
Jamie Klavon 100% 29.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.7 2.8 2.5 3.4 2.7 3.5 2.9 3.8 4.5 95.2%
Annie Christie 100% 37.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.3 84.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 6.8 0.2 0.8 2.5 7.4 11.4 15.7 14.9 11.5 8.5 8.2 5.4 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.6 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Phoebe Bates 100% 9.9 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.8 7.9 8.3 10.2 9.0 9.2 8.1 6.9 6.9 5.1 5.1 3.9 3.6 2.6 2.2 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 100.0%
Brooke Waldal 100% 12.5 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.9 3.9 6.0 7.1 7.7 8.7 7.3 7.5 8.3 5.9 6.3 4.5 4.0 3.3 3.3 2.7 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.2 100.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.6 4.4 7.1 7.7 7.0 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.2 5.5 4.9 5.0 4.9 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.6 0.8 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 15.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.9 3.8 5.1 5.1 4.8 7.0 7.0 8.2 6.6 6.2 5.6 6.0 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.5 2.8 3.1 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 17.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.8 2.0 2.7 3.5 5.1 4.7 5.9 5.9 6.6 7.6 6.7 6.4 6.9 5.9 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.0 100.0%
Annie Christie 100% 22.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.8 5.2 6.4 6.0 6.4 5.3 5.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 2.1 17.0 31.9 21.1 11.7 6.9 5.0 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Phoebe Bates 4.2 3.7 10.9 17.4 15.4 14.6 10.3 7.7 7.0 4.4 3.4 2.5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brooke Waldal 6.0 1.0 4.4 8.4 12.5 12.0 11.4 12.5 9.5 7.7 6.5 5.0 3.5 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2
Brooklynn Edwards 6.2 1.1 3.6 6.2 11.2 12.2 13.2 11.4 10.5 8.5 5.8 5.7 3.1 3.1 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1
Alivia Romaniuk 7.8 0.4 1.4 4.2 6.0 7.8 9.7 11.2 11.7 11.0 9.3 8.7 5.6 4.4 3.1 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jamie Klavon 9.3 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.3 4.4 6.6 9.4 10.4 11.1 11.3 10.1 7.9 7.3 5.1 5.0 3.6 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Annie Christie 12.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.7 3.8 6.0 8.1 10.3 11.1 11.2 9.8 10.2 9.9 5.5 3.3 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1