Danville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #118
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #35
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
South Putnam Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 94.5%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 968 927 1,020 1,212 974 934 1,142
Team Adjusted Rating 825 1,020 1,047 974 934 956
State RankRunnerSeason Rating THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
304  Natalie Dayharsh 12 20:40 20:49 20:38 20:34 20:16 20:51 20:58 20:23 20:48
893  Watts Keely 12 22:16 22:08 22:22 22:25 22:12
1,107  Halle Walker 9 22:43 21:49 23:26 24:05 22:38 22:14 22:32 23:04
1,122  Izzy Flick 9 22:46 21:53 23:58 22:56 22:29
Olivia Pell 9 23:32 23:57 23:33 24:01 23:41 23:14 23:08
Rachel Clark 11 23:35 22:47 23:03 24:03 23:43 23:35 24:04
Jenna Conrad 10 24:18 24:06 24:02 25:59 24:33 23:56 24:12
Erin Seders 11 24:29 24:00 24:57 24:58 24:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 94.5% 8.9 235 1.0 18.0 61.7 13.9
Sectionals 100% 5.0 155 2.7 91.9 5.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 99.6% 84.6 99.6% 99.6%
Watts Keely 0.1% 145.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 100% 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 4.1 4.4 6.0 7.2 100.0% 100.0%
Watts Keely 100.0% 52.3 99.1% 99.8%
Halle Walker 98.0% 63.8 63.6% 84.9%
Izzy Flick 97.6% 64.8 56.4% 82.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Dayharsh 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.5 3.3 4.3 6.1 7.2 11.8 17.4 15.4 10.8 7.8 5.7 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1
Watts Keely 28.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.1
Halle Walker 34.5 0.2
Izzy Flick 34.9 0.1