Oak Hill
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #41
New Haven Semi-State Rank #10
Marion Regional Rank #2
Marion Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Marion Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Grant 4 New Haven Classic Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/10 9/14 9/21 9/24 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 461 487 452 1,057 439 NEI 523 498 470 511 457
Team Adjusted Rating 405 452 539 439 NEI 523 498 470 511 457
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Marion Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Grant 4 New Haven Classic Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
20  Mollie Gamble 12 18:47 18:40 18:47 18:30 18:34 18:57 18:56 18:58 19:00 18:54 18:42
273  Kinzie Robey 11 20:33 20:19 20:20 NEI 20:23 20:35 20:48 20:19 20:45
312  Selah Jackson 11 20:41 20:07 20:16 20:02 NEI 21:40 20:51 20:28 21:11 20:37
371  Grace Geller 10 20:53 20:48 21:12 21:58 21:17 NEI 20:58 21:16 21:01 21:37 20:38
725  Kate Hornocker 11 21:55 21:55 22:07 22:06 21:57 NEI 21:57 21:52 21:50 21:37 21:56
840  Ireland Dodson 12 22:09 21:32 22:00 21:54 NEI 21:55 22:22 22:49 22:35 22:10
1,062  Lauren Marsh 12 22:38 22:27 23:19 23:04 23:15 NEI 23:31 22:31 22:35 22:38 22:22
1,384  Joy McDivitt 10 23:19 23:05 22:45 23:00 23:29 NEI 23:50 23:16
Claire Gamble 10 23:35 23:25 23:31 23:39 23:38 NEI 23:43 23:41
Mallory Cheek 10 23:51 24:29 23:29 23:15 23:38 NEI 24:26 24:44
Kalynn Wisner 9 23:52 NEI 23:47 24:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 19.0 445 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 9.9 294 0.4 1.1 5.9 14.9 60.5 12.8 3.4 1.0 0.3
Regionals 100% 1.4 64 58.3 41.0 0.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 100.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mollie Gamble 99.7% 19.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.0 2.3 3.3 3.9 3.1 3.6 4.4 4.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.4 2.4 2.7 2.6 99.6% 99.7%
Kinzie Robey 0.4% 126.0 0.0% 0.0%
Selah Jackson 0.4% 132.0 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Geller 0.4% 153.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Hornocker 0.4% 193.5 0.0% 0.0%
Ireland Dodson 0.4% 197.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Marsh 0.4% 202.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mollie Gamble 100% 7.8 0.1 1.3 5.9 7.2 9.7 10.6 9.0 8.0 8.7 7.8 7.1 5.6 5.5 3.8 2.9 2.3 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Kinzie Robey 100% 68.7 100.0%
Selah Jackson 100% 77.1 100.0%
Grace Geller 100% 89.2 100.0%
Kate Hornocker 100% 135.4 65.3%
Ireland Dodson 100% 143.0 32.7%
Lauren Marsh 100% 151.8 2.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mollie Gamble 100% 2.0 19.1 32.1 29.3 12.5 5.1 1.8 0.2 100.0%
Kinzie Robey 100% 11.6 0.1 0.2 3.4 8.7 13.0 15.4 15.5 14.3 11.1 7.7 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Selah Jackson 100% 13.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 7.1 11.0 12.7 14.4 13.3 11.8 10.5 7.2 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Grace Geller 100% 15.7 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.3 5.8 7.7 10.3 12.3 13.0 16.3 14.1 8.0 3.8 2.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Kate Hornocker 100% 27.4 0.4 1.9 3.1 4.0 6.0 7.1 8.0 100.0%
Ireland Dodson 100% 32.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.2 3.2 100.0%
Lauren Marsh 100% 41.3 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mollie Gamble 1.3 23.7 76.4
Kinzie Robey 3.5 36.6 25.9 18.6 12.2 5.0 1.9
Selah Jackson 4.7 13.6 22.1 21.9 20.0 15.4 6.9 0.3
Grace Geller 6.3 2.2 5.1 13.2 21.1 25.7 30.3 2.0 0.4 0.1
Kate Hornocker 11.1 0.4 15.8 15.0 16.3 19.2 16.8 11.8 4.6 0.3
Ireland Dodson 13.2 2.2 3.8 8.0 12.3 19.5 23.9 26.8 3.5 0.1
Lauren Marsh 15.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 4.3 15.3 72.5 6.1 0.2 0.1