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State Rank #32
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #8
New Prairie Regional Rank #3
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 56.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 397 546 516 559 555 437 458 584 464 404 379 398
Team Adjusted Rating 450 431 428 399 437 458 473 464 404 379 398
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
107  Kaitlyn Mackovyak 12 19:45 20:30 19:52 19:59 19:53 19:40 19:57 19:47 20:36 19:25 19:42 20:12
119  Morgan McCulloch 11 19:52 20:45 20:34 20:28 20:10 19:47 19:39 19:43
230  Brisa Martinez 12 20:23 20:23 20:19 20:44 20:26 20:14 20:10 20:30 20:26 20:17 20:29
372  Emilee Craigin 11 20:53 21:05 21:29 20:46 21:35 21:46 21:13 21:03 20:40 20:44
415  Soraya Loubriel 10 21:02 21:12 20:58 21:06 20:57 21:17 20:52 20:59 20:55 21:13 21:17 20:55
498  Anna Timm 12 21:18 21:42 21:29 21:42 21:49 21:55 21:50 22:25 21:55 22:18 21:12 21:09
857  Amanda Purnick 10 22:11 21:41 22:00 21:26 21:44 22:07 21:56 22:16 22:16 22:55 22:14 24:13
1,057  Mia Chavez 12 22:37 22:41 22:47 22:53 22:54 22:21 22:30
1,105  Ava Allen 9 22:43 22:54 22:32 22:45 22:27 23:07
1,316  Alison Ball 12 23:10 23:23 23:30 23:22 22:54 22:58
Dillen Edwards 11 23:33 23:21 23:10 23:13 23:51 23:31 24:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 56.2% 20.3 476 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.3 2.8 4.7 6.6 10.1 10.8 9.0 6.2 3.0
Semi-State 100% 6.0 196 0.5 1.5 11.7 13.7 13.5 15.5 14.9 16.0 11.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.5 78 1.4 46.1 51.9 0.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.5 73 1.6 46.6 51.7 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Mackovyak 65.0% 85.1 20.1% 39.9%
Morgan McCulloch 60.7% 94.2 10.2% 24.1%
Brisa Martinez 56.2% 135.7 0.0% 0.6%
Emilee Craigin 56.2% 170.6 0.0% 0.0%
Soraya Loubriel 56.2% 178.9 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Timm 56.2% 188.2 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Purnick 56.2% 200.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Mackovyak 100% 19.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 2.1 2.4 3.2 2.9 3.9 4.8 6.5 6.7 7.4 5.0 6.5 5.4 4.8 5.6 4.7 4.2 100.0%
Morgan McCulloch 100% 22.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.0 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.0 5.1 5.1 5.4 5.1 6.2 6.5 4.6 5.3 100.0%
Brisa Martinez 100% 41.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 99.5%
Emilee Craigin 100% 69.9 79.6%
Soraya Loubriel 100% 80.8 63.2%
Anna Timm 100% 98.2 27.9%
Amanda Purnick 100% 141.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Mackovyak 100% 6.2 0.1 0.3 2.4 11.3 16.8 17.0 14.8 10.9 9.1 6.0 3.8 3.0 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Morgan McCulloch 100% 7.6 0.1 1.0 5.7 9.1 11.9 14.6 13.5 9.5 8.9 7.6 5.6 4.1 2.7 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brisa Martinez 100% 15.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.7 4.0 5.3 7.4 7.2 9.1 10.7 10.1 9.8 7.8 6.6 4.3 3.1 2.0 1.1 1.1 100.0%
Emilee Craigin 100% 25.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.5 3.3 4.8 5.0 5.4 7.4 7.4 6.8 5.9 100.0%
Soraya Loubriel 100% 28.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.0 4.8 6.6 100.0%
Anna Timm 100% 34.8 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.4 1.6 100.0%
Amanda Purnick 100% 49.2 80.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Mackovyak 6.0 0.1 0.3 2.2 11.9 18.1 18.1 16.8 11.3 7.6 5.8 3.0 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Morgan McCulloch 7.2 0.2 0.9 5.5 9.7 14.5 15.9 14.3 12.4 9.7 6.3 4.0 3.9 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brisa Martinez 14.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.8 4.0 5.1 6.9 7.5 10.6 13.1 13.9 11.9 10.0 6.2 4.0 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.1
Emilee Craigin 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 3.1 4.5 7.5 10.5 10.5 12.3 10.2 9.1 7.5 6.5 4.8
Soraya Loubriel 22.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.0 4.0 6.6 7.5 9.2 9.8 9.8 9.9 8.7
Anna Timm 26.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 2.8 4.8 5.5 7.0 7.1
Amanda Purnick 36.8