Bishop Chatard
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #9
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Noblesville Regional Rank #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 44.4%
Advance to State Finals 73.5%
Advance to Semi-State 89.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Circle City Conference Bishop Chatard Invitational Guerin Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/4 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 245 244 474 219 238 260 288 244 229 237 284
Team Adjusted Rating 244 275 219 238 260 288 244 229 237 284
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Circle City Conference Bishop Chatard Invitational Guerin Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
8  Lily Cridge 9 18:29 18:28 18:46 18:18 18:34 18:25 18:41 18:42 18:30 18:29 18:24
36  Emily Loiselle 11 19:07 19:38 19:21 19:18 19:16 19:09 19:08 19:04 18:47 19:01 19:13
105  Mary Bea Sowinski 10 19:45 19:34 19:29 19:30 19:47 19:49 19:55 20:00 19:36 19:53
179  Alex Gantz 10 20:10 20:01 20:00 19:52 20:24 20:27 19:55 20:05 20:24 20:22
313  Mayan Stickel 10 20:41 20:34 20:58 20:26 20:50 20:45 21:05 20:41 20:24 20:31 21:04
578  Caroline Bell 9 21:33 21:18 21:36 20:55 21:06 22:49 21:15 21:21 21:42 21:50 22:06
852  Miranda Stickel 12 22:11 21:25 21:58 22:02 22:26 22:08 22:18 22:04 22:37 22:23
1,012  Maisie Mcmahon 9 22:33 22:21 22:59 22:36 23:00 22:50 21:50
1,087  Fiona Hostettler 12 22:40 22:18 22:26 24:09 22:44 22:37
1,251  Mara Foley 10 23:01 22:22 23:00 23:04 22:50 23:45
1,349  Deirdre Hostettler 10 23:15 23:48 23:55 22:53 23:31 22:46
1,353  Elaine Nickerson 11 23:15 23:18 23:39 23:29 22:48 23:15
1,441  Berlynn Payne 10 23:28 22:41 23:01 23:27 24:06 23:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 73.5% 9.8 292 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.1 7.3 8.5 10.9 9.8 8.8 7.7 6.1 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
Semi-State 89.5% 5.3 163 0.1 0.7 6.3 16.2 25.0 25.4 11.8 3.9 0.3
Regionals 100% 4.3 115 0.4 6.0 17.4 30.9 34.9 8.8 1.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.6 68 8.5 32.0 49.4 9.2 1.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 10.0 1.0 2.4 4.1 5.4 7.7 8.6 7.9 7.0 6.2 6.5 5.4 4.9 4.3 3.0 3.4 3.4 2.3 2.1 1.7 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 84.7% 37.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.7 1.3 2.1 1.4 1.4 2.0 42.3% 72.6%
Mary Bea Sowinski 73.5% 88.5 0.1 0.0% 3.5%
Alex Gantz 73.5% 121.7 0.0% 0.1%
Mayan Stickel 73.5% 162.3 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Bell 73.5% 195.1 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Stickel 73.5% 201.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 4.2 7.8 10.8 15.3 13.9 13.6 9.6 8.7 6.1 4.3 3.0 2.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 100% 16.7 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.4 1.8 2.7 3.4 3.6 5.4 5.3 5.2 6.5 5.6 5.5 5.1 4.7 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Mary Bea Sowinski 92.2% 43.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 26.1% 72.5%
Alex Gantz 89.5% 61.5 0.1 0.1 0.0% 20.1%
Mayan Stickel 89.5% 85.2 0.0% 0.5%
Caroline Bell 89.5% 123.3 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Stickel 89.5% 153.6 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 100% 2.7 10.6 19.6 28.3 20.1 12.1 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Emily Loiselle 100% 10.0 0.1 0.3 2.3 5.2 9.5 8.8 9.0 7.8 7.5 7.4 6.7 5.9 5.2 3.6 4.3 2.9 3.3 2.8 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Mary Bea Sowinski 100% 26.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.4 4.1 3.2 3.8 4.8 5.9 6.1 4.8 100.0%
Alex Gantz 100% 37.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 100.0%
Mayan Stickel 100% 51.4 100.0%
Caroline Bell 100% 67.8 87.5%
Miranda Stickel 100% 79.1 22.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lily Cridge 2.5 10.4 22.8 33.7 27.9 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.2
Emily Loiselle 5.8 0.1 0.6 5.3 28.1 21.0 18.8 13.7 7.4 3.6 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Mary Bea Sowinski 11.6 1.0 1.8 3.8 8.0 11.9 15.0 15.2 11.3 8.9 7.8 4.9 4.1 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Alex Gantz 17.9 0.3 0.8 1.1 3.2 5.3 6.9 7.5 8.9 8.1 9.1 9.1 7.9 7.3 5.8 4.8 4.6 3.3
Mayan Stickel 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.6 3.8 5.1 5.6 7.2
Caroline Bell 35.8
Miranda Stickel 44.7