All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
9/28 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
254 |
199 |
258 |
236 |
213 |
280 |
|
292 |
259 |
250 |
260 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
199 |
258 |
236 |
213 |
280 |
|
291 |
259 |
250 |
260 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 79 |
Quinn Wilson |
12 |
19:30 |
19:37 |
20:21 |
20:30 |
20:35 |
20:04 |
|
20:06 |
19:41 |
19:33 |
19:22 |
| 81 |
Bea Cakmak |
10 |
19:31 |
19:18 |
19:33 |
19:29 |
19:02 |
19:21 |
|
19:43 |
19:35 |
19:35 |
19:53 |
| 99 |
Abbey Armstrong |
12 |
19:37 |
19:21 |
19:14 |
19:22 |
19:12 |
20:20 |
|
19:58 |
19:58 |
19:35 |
19:33 |
| 154 |
Avery Njau |
10 |
20:03 |
20:55 |
20:41 |
20:25 |
19:54 |
19:54 |
|
|
19:44 |
19:54 |
20:02 |
| 159 |
Olivia Kaiser |
11 |
20:05 |
19:50 |
20:18 |
19:55 |
19:54 |
20:05 |
|
20:04 |
20:15 |
20:03 |
20:18 |
| 165 |
Mya Hagerty |
12 |
20:06 |
19:35 |
19:28 |
19:39 |
21:24 |
|
|
20:27 |
|
20:11 |
20:05 |
| 193 |
Mackenzie Carver |
12 |
20:12 |
19:47 |
20:26 |
19:56 |
20:16 |
20:23 |
|
20:05 |
19:56 |
20:31 |
20:20 |
| 201 |
Rachel Allison |
9 |
20:15 |
19:36 |
20:32 |
19:54 |
20:39 |
20:03 |
|
|
20:43 |
|
|
| 225 |
Melissa Mahaffey |
10 |
20:21 |
19:55 |
21:06 |
21:16 |
19:40 |
20:41 |
|
19:54 |
|
|
|
| 630 |
Ava Mattox |
12 |
21:41 |
22:03 |
21:58 |
21:26 |
21:47 |
|
21:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 778 |
Isabel Schneider |
10 |
22:02 |
22:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 896 |
Mikalah Wiles |
9 |
22:16 |
23:10 |
22:42 |
21:57 |
22:00 |
|
22:14 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
10.1 |
295 |
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
6.0 |
7.7 |
8.9 |
10.9 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
10.0 |
9.1 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.1 |
87 |
18.3 |
61.9 |
15.1 |
4.2 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.2 |
38 |
84.5 |
14.4 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
30 |
85.9 |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
72.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
95.3% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
94.5% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
82.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
88.5% |
| Avery Njau |
100% |
117.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.8% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
120.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.4% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
122.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.2% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
130.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
10.2 |
|
1.0 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
8.6 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
10.6 |
|
0.9 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
13.1 |
|
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Avery Njau |
100% |
28.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
29.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
30.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
35.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
3.0 |
|
25.1 |
24.3 |
16.8 |
12.0 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
3.2 |
|
26.6 |
20.8 |
16.5 |
11.1 |
8.0 |
5.2 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
4.4 |
|
8.6 |
15.1 |
19.1 |
16.7 |
11.3 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Avery Njau |
100% |
12.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
9.1 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
13.2 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
13.7 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.5 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
16.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
8.4 |
7.9 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Quinn Wilson |
2.8 |
|
27.9 |
27.3 |
17.6 |
12.4 |
7.8 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bea Cakmak |
3.0 |
|
25.7 |
24.5 |
20.6 |
12.6 |
7.6 |
4.4 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abbey Armstrong |
3.9 |
|
11.5 |
17.5 |
23.1 |
17.2 |
11.7 |
7.9 |
6.0 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Avery Njau |
9.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
3.1 |
8.1 |
11.1 |
10.4 |
14.7 |
13.4 |
10.9 |
10.3 |
7.4 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Olivia Kaiser |
9.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.3 |
6.0 |
9.2 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
14.2 |
13.9 |
11.6 |
7.7 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mya Hagerty |
10.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
10.4 |
11.5 |
12.3 |
14.7 |
12.1 |
10.2 |
6.8 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Carver |
11.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
8.0 |
10.2 |
13.7 |
14.0 |
14.4 |
10.3 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
