Cathedral
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 9.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 57.6%
Advance to State Finals 78.6%
Advance to Semi-State 92.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational Midwest Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 236 325 233 NEI 333 295 276 189 296
Team Adjusted Rating 221 190 NEI 333 295 276 189 218
State RankRunnerSeason Rating THSB State Preview Guerin Invitational Midwest Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Indianapolis City Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
33  Gracie Carr 12 19:04 18:51 18:23 NEI 19:29 19:27 19:19 18:45 19:00 19:18
44  Gillian Cridge 12 19:12 19:06 NEI 20:03 19:11 19:10 19:08 18:58 19:28
78  Audrey McKinney 12 19:30 19:26 19:16 NEI 19:56 19:32 19:37 19:19 19:32
156  Ellie Thor 11 20:04 20:20 19:38 NEI 20:35 20:41 20:37 19:43 19:49
243  Grace Bragg 9 20:26 20:03 NEI 20:36 20:46 20:32 20:07
559  Megan Kaster 12 21:30 21:23 21:10 NEI 21:27 21:27 21:35 21:21 21:52
716  Dearbhla Delaney 9 21:54 21:55 22:26 NEI 21:51 21:53 21:45 21:46
805  Kendrick Mernitz 12 22:06 21:53 22:19 NEI 22:11 21:47 23:41 21:50
820  Brooke Wojcieszek 9 22:07 21:57 22:15 NEI 22:13 22:05
905  Sarah Wojtalik 10 22:18 22:19 21:44 NEI 24:16 22:23
1,246  Catherine Holtrup 9 23:00 22:48 23:27 23:03 22:54
1,433  Sally Bradshaw 9 23:27 23:27 23:41 23:44 23:26 23:07
Maura Flood 11 23:39 23:44 23:23 23:39 23:51
Katie Rushka 12 23:57 23:55 23:33 25:01 23:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 78.6% 8.8 273 0.3 0.8 2.5 6.4 9.6 8.8 10.8 9.0 9.6 7.3 5.7 3.1 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 92.0% 5.0 156 0.4 1.8 11.4 22.5 24.6 18.1 9.9 3.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.9 109 0.8 13.5 23.8 27.7 26.2 6.7 1.1 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.3 63 15.9 45.3 32.7 5.7 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 89.1% 35.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.1 49.1% 77.4%
Gillian Cridge 84.0% 44.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.1 25.0% 60.5%
Audrey McKinney 79.1% 68.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.3% 18.0%
Ellie Thor 78.6% 114.3 0.0% 0.1%
Grace Bragg 78.6% 144.7 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Kaster 78.6% 194.4 0.0% 0.0%
Dearbhla Delaney 78.6% 199.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 100% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.4 5.5 5.4 5.8 6.4 5.9 5.5 5.8 4.9 4.2 4.3 4.0 3.3 3.7 3.1 2.6 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Gillian Cridge 99.9% 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.5 3.8 3.2 4.6 4.7 5.0 4.4 5.0 5.2 5.0 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.0 98.1% 99.8%
Audrey McKinney 96.6% 32.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.2 2.2 1.7 2.6 1.9 2.7 3.0 2.5 57.8% 93.2%
Ellie Thor 92.0% 57.8 0.1 0.1 0.0% 31.3%
Grace Bragg 92.0% 73.2 0.0% 4.0%
Megan Kaster 92.0% 120.8 0.0% 0.0%
Dearbhla Delaney 92.0% 141.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 100% 8.9 0.4 1.2 3.9 6.5 8.6 10.6 10.9 8.7 6.4 7.1 5.8 6.6 4.2 4.2 2.8 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Gillian Cridge 100% 12.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 2.9 5.0 6.6 7.6 7.1 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.7 5.6 6.1 6.1 5.6 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.2 1.7 0.9 1.1 100.0%
Audrey McKinney 100% 20.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.8 1.9 2.2 3.6 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 5.3 5.7 5.7 6.4 6.4 7.4 5.5 5.3 4.3 100.0%
Ellie Thor 100% 34.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.5 2.6 100.0%
Grace Bragg 100% 44.7 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Megan Kaster 100% 67.0 89.3%
Dearbhla Delaney 100% 74.9 54.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gracie Carr 5.4 0.2 0.5 2.1 7.3 28.9 26.3 18.9 9.8 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Gillian Cridge 6.5 0.2 0.5 2.9 12.7 22.4 24.0 19.1 8.9 5.5 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Audrey McKinney 9.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 7.9 16.3 22.0 17.7 11.7 7.7 5.3 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ellie Thor 16.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.7 5.7 8.5 8.8 8.1 10.2 9.6 8.5 7.9 6.9 5.5 3.5 3.5 2.6 1.5
Grace Bragg 22.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.5 3.5 5.1 6.2 6.2 7.9 7.8 8.0 7.8 6.7
Megan Kaster 35.2
Dearbhla Delaney 41.4