Lowell
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #31
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #7
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Crown Point Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 51.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 390 335 333 397 411 412 639 436 402 379 390 403
Team Adjusted Rating 335 333 360 411 412 390 436 402 379 390 403
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Karina James 10 18:14 17:53 19:00 18:18 18:28 18:13 18:51 18:40 18:28 18:09 18:06
263  Reilly Boyer 9 20:32 21:07 20:47 20:38 20:43 20:25 20:13 20:41 20:36 20:24 20:21 20:36
274  Jazmin Grund 12 20:33 20:09 20:21 20:25 20:32 20:23 20:47 20:46 20:37 20:32 20:37 20:42
370  Megan Kaczur 11 20:53 19:56 20:27 20:19 20:59 21:22 20:52 20:43 21:11 21:14 20:54
429  Alexia Bibakis 12 21:04 21:18 20:17 22:35 22:21 21:27 21:16 21:22 20:49 21:25
456  Olivia Decker 9 21:09 22:43 22:01 21:42 21:32 21:26 21:39 21:21 21:13 20:48 21:23 21:12
468  Brooke Hayden 12 21:11 20:41 20:33 22:29 21:06 21:10 21:23 21:15 21:10 21:02 21:30 21:03
865  Megan Brandon 10 22:13 22:55 21:46
1,083  Bella Medina 10 22:40 22:33 22:05 23:08 22:53 22:07 22:19 23:51
1,322  Sydney Kramer 11 23:11 23:31 23:13 23:37 24:12 23:05 22:51 22:41
1,389  Morgan Blank 12 23:20 23:20 23:40 23:38 23:07 22:58 23:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 51.1% 20.5 479 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.8 4.1 5.9 7.9 10.5 10.3 7.1 1.3
Semi-State 100% 6.3 200 0.1 1.5 8.3 12.8 13.5 15.0 14.9 16.4 14.9 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 52 30.8 37.8 31.5
Sectionals 100% 1.3 31 67.7 32.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 4.8 1.3 6.7 13.8 16.1 14.5 10.9 7.5 6.6 5.0 3.6 2.9 2.0 2.0 1.4 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 51.1% 146.3 0.0% 0.3%
Jazmin Grund 51.1% 148.0 0.0% 0.1%
Megan Kaczur 51.1% 169.5 0.0% 0.0%
Alexia Bibakis 51.1% 180.2 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Decker 51.1% 183.4 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Hayden 51.1% 185.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 91.0 7.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 48.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Jazmin Grund 100% 50.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 69.7 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 83.9 100.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 89.0 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 91.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 97.7 2.2 0.1 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 9.8 0.2 0.5 3.3 17.9 17.1 14.3 12.2 9.4 8.0 5.7 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jazmin Grund 100% 10.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 15.8 16.6 14.9 11.3 9.6 8.6 7.2 4.4 3.3 3.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 15.2 0.1 0.8 1.6 4.6 6.6 6.9 7.6 9.9 10.5 9.1 9.4 8.9 7.2 4.8 4.4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.9 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 18.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.5 2.9 4.3 4.4 5.5 7.8 8.2 9.3 8.8 9.7 8.3 6.7 6.1 4.8 3.2 100.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 20.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.8 2.6 4.5 5.4 6.5 6.9 9.8 9.4 8.5 8.0 7.6 6.0 5.5 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 21.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 1.7 1.8 3.2 4.9 4.9 7.6 7.7 8.0 8.7 9.8 7.7 7.2 6.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 1.0 98.6 1.2 0.2
Reilly Boyer 5.4 1.0 37.4 32.3 19.0 6.5 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Jazmin Grund 5.5 1.1 30.6 35.4 21.4 7.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
Megan Kaczur 7.9 2.4 6.9 17.8 26.7 16.6 11.1 6.7 5.2 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Alexia Bibakis 10.0 0.1 1.0 4.9 10.9 17.4 15.8 14.0 10.2 9.5 5.6 4.0 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.1
Olivia Decker 11.2 0.1 0.4 1.9 6.3 10.8 12.3 15.2 13.4 11.6 8.5 7.3 4.3 3.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brooke Hayden 11.6 0.2 1.9 4.7 9.5 13.6 13.0 12.8 10.9 9.8 8.3 5.3 3.6 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1