Merrillville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #126
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #28
Crown Point Regional Rank #8
Crown Point Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 98.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Dave Walker Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,049 1,197 1,292 1,074 1,117 981 1,135 1,087 1,119
Team Adjusted Rating 1,197 1,136 1,074 1,117 981 1,006 1,019 1,064
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Walker Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
755  Michelle Gunnell 12 21:58 23:00 21:49 22:47 21:49 21:35 22:13 21:42
808  Sierra Weaver 11 22:06 22:29 22:32 22:15 21:24 21:50 21:48 22:19 21:59 22:41
1,021  Ciarra Watson 10 22:34 24:01 23:47 22:41 24:06 22:10 22:13 22:12 22:14
1,278  Natalie Martinez 11 23:05 23:01 22:53 23:19 23:02 22:55 22:57 23:06 23:30
Precious Moore 9 23:34 23:15 23:56 23:35 23:25 23:37
Lauren Gunnell 11 24:05 24:05 24:24 23:37 24:15
Merci Tan 10 24:45 24:10 23:38 24:11 25:18 24:57 25:24 24:56
Brooklyn Edwards 9 24:47 25:40 24:26 23:35 24:08 25:10 25:47
Kendall Karpen 10 25:00 25:44 24:31
Hanna Villahermosa 10 25:05 24:14 27:21 24:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 98.5% 7.8 205 3.3 14.3 81.0
Sectionals 100% 4.8 142 2.5 11.9 84.2 1.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Gunnell 87.2% 130.6 87.2% 87.2%
Sierra Weaver 71.6% 135.4 71.6% 71.6%
Ciarra Watson 8.7% 148.8 8.7% 8.7%
Natalie Martinez 0.1% 160.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Gunnell 100% 34.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Sierra Weaver 100% 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Ciarra Watson 100% 45.0 100.0% 100.0%
Natalie Martinez 100% 52.7 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michelle Gunnell 21.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.3 5.4 7.0 12.1 15.7 13.9 13.1 12.1 7.0
Sierra Weaver 22.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.2 4.1 6.8 10.6 14.5 13.6 16.4 13.9
Ciarra Watson 26.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 5.0 8.5
Natalie Martinez 32.8 0.1 0.3