Monrovia
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #105
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #32
Shelbyville Regional Rank #6
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Riverton Parke Invitational Columbus North Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/24 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 897 888 886 856 910 900 875 958 1,063 1,037
Team Adjusted Rating 888 886 856 910 900 875 851 935 918
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Riverton Parke Invitational Columbus North Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
215  Emma Gaston 10 20:19 20:24 20:13 20:02 20:18 20:17 20:05 20:20 20:10 20:48 20:34
641  Faith Nagel 10 21:43 22:08 21:38 21:31 21:01 21:48 21:14 21:25 22:30 21:43 22:18
774  Arielle Collins 10 22:01 22:10 22:23 21:56 22:18 21:59 21:52 21:49 22:05 21:57
952  Ashley Trudeau 10 22:23 21:49 21:47 22:02 22:45 22:36 23:01
Carson Kennedy 12 24:32 25:08 24:44 24:59 25:03 24:07 23:58 24:17 24:31
Sarah McKee 12 24:50 24:53 27:06 25:07 24:06 24:46 24:18 25:10 24:43
Kyra Davis 12 25:08 26:08 26:19 25:20 25:38 25:01 24:43
Lacey Kitchen 11 25:33 24:03 25:34 26:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 99.9% 6.6 181 42.9 54.3 2.5 0.3
Sectionals 100% 4.9 139 14.6 85.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Gaston 100% 68.8 100.0% 100.0%
Faith Nagel 83.7% 130.6 83.7% 83.7%
Arielle Collins 38.5% 142.0 38.5% 38.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Gaston 100% 7.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.6 14.2 29.5 17.9 12.9 6.5 5.9 4.7 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Faith Nagel 100% 29.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.7 2.9 3.4 4.6 5.2 100.0% 100.0%
Arielle Collins 100% 37.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Gaston 3.9 0.2 0.8 4.3 48.0 19.5 12.6 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.9 0.1
Faith Nagel 17.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.5 4.4 6.2 7.4 8.4 8.9 10.1 10.0 8.8 7.8 6.8 6.0 4.7 2.6 1.7
Arielle Collins 22.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.7 2.8 4.1 5.9 6.9 7.7 7.7 9.6 10.6 10.0 9.4