Northrop
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #56
New Haven Semi-State Rank #14
West Noble Regional Rank #6
Northrop Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 21.6%
Advance to Regional 59.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 593 876 563 562 542 751 650 760 649 639
Team Adjusted Rating 692 563 562 542 751 650 616 649 639
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
238  Cassie Dove 9 20:24 19:57 19:59 19:46 19:58 20:25 20:06 20:39 21:24 21:18
293  Victoria Clibon 9 20:37 20:20 20:04 20:42 20:27 20:55 20:23 20:52 21:00
347  Summer Silvers-Barone 12 20:49 21:52 20:36 21:05 20:26 22:50 20:54 20:30 20:28 21:27
423  Alyssa Williams 11 21:04 21:05 20:48 21:10 20:43 21:22 21:05 21:12 20:52 21:19
1,111  Sophia Boner 9 22:44 23:41 23:30 22:43 23:01 23:11 23:28 22:57 23:04 22:21
1,372  Melody Patterson 10 23:17 23:37 23:14 23:47 22:48 23:49 23:14 22:59 23:21
1,463  Grace Gonzalez 11 23:30 25:54 25:41 24:42 24:11 24:52 23:36 24:00 23:33 23:06
Jazmin Colin 10 24:14 23:49 23:41 23:22 26:45 24:47
Nicole Bursova 11 24:33 24:53 25:17 24:37 25:09 23:59 24:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 21.6% 11.2 329 0.1 0.6 3.0 12.0 4.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
Regionals 59.4% 5.9 164 0.1 21.6 20.1 17.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 5.5 168 0.1 59.3 34.0 6.4 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 90.6% 57.2 0.1 0.1 88.0% 90.3%
Victoria Clibon 64.7% 69.4 54.9% 61.0%
Summer Silvers-Barone 37.4% 76.5 20.1% 27.1%
Alyssa Williams 23.4% 90.2 2.3% 5.2%
Sophia Boner 21.6% 150.5 0.0% 0.0%
Melody Patterson 21.6% 157.4 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Gonzalez 21.6% 160.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 100.0% 24.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 2.0 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.1 5.7 5.4 5.7 99.9% 100.0%
Victoria Clibon 99.5% 31.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.6 3.6 3.1 98.8% 99.5%
Summer Silvers-Barone 97.2% 36.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.9 93.1% 96.9%
Alyssa Williams 85.9% 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 65.3% 82.5%
Sophia Boner 59.4% 65.9 0.0% 0.0%
Melody Patterson 59.4% 74.8 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Gonzalez 59.4% 77.7 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cassie Dove 20.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.9 3.9 4.4 4.6 6.0 7.2 7.7 8.5 8.8 8.1 7.4 6.6 5.7
Victoria Clibon 25.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.1 2.0 1.8 2.0 3.8 3.8 4.8 5.1 7.6 7.4 7.6
Summer Silvers-Barone 29.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.8 3.0 4.7 4.9
Alyssa Williams 34.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.4
Sophia Boner 54.8
Melody Patterson 57.1
Grace Gonzalez 58.8