Penn
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #26
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Riley Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.8%
Advance to State Finals 33.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 357 368 321 297 979 384 343 376 401 574 413 341
Team Adjusted Rating 368 321 297 357 370 343 376 401 393 413 341
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
71  Brooke Neal 12 19:25 19:40 19:19 18:56 19:54 19:23 19:42 19:29 19:47 19:22 19:14
197  Morgan Gannon 10 20:14 20:21 19:47 19:49 20:00 19:55 20:25 20:37 20:19 20:39
207  Mackenzie Holland 10 20:16 21:28 20:48 20:24 20:32 20:19 20:31 20:03 20:48 20:02
262  Haley Makowski 11 20:32 20:19 20:25 20:30 21:07 20:55 21:42 21:01 20:49 20:17
332  Aislynn Alkire 12 20:46 20:40 20:29 20:08 20:37 21:06 20:39 20:47 21:33 20:52
350  Nicole Marshall 11 20:50 21:06 20:44 20:43 20:46 20:37 20:35 21:11 20:56 20:58
358  Reagan Hoke 11 20:51 20:33 20:41 20:44 20:49 20:42 20:33 21:06 22:01
359  Ava Gillis 11 20:51 21:43 21:13 20:54 20:55 20:39 21:29 21:03 20:53 20:36
577  Kayla Edgerly 11 21:33 20:59 20:27 21:04 21:16 23:12 21:56 21:25 22:21
677  Nikki Jerzak 10 21:48 22:28 21:26 21:14 21:37 22:21 22:01 21:43
712  Cassidy Cripe 12 21:54 21:44 21:37 21:33 21:35 22:27 21:52 22:33 21:58
732  Katie Cassbon 11 21:56 20:59 21:25 21:58 23:00
806  Hannah Cussen 11 22:06 22:23 22:25 21:47 22:26 22:11 22:09 22:08 21:45
871  Riley Keppler 12 22:13 21:16 21:35 21:16 23:11 22:17 23:18
1,153  Alana Sandoval 9 22:49 22:52 22:43 23:49 22:46 22:45 22:24 22:57
1,206  Megan Ungerecht 11 22:55 23:12 25:01 22:57 23:10 22:34 22:52 22:31
1,331  Adriana Juarez 12 23:12 22:17 22:06 22:40 22:53 23:20 24:41 24:32
1,394  Morgan Collins 9 23:21 22:59 24:40 25:51 22:39 23:30 22:53
1,395  Sheela Soni 10 23:21 23:12 23:19 23:10 23:12 23:27 23:45
Jasmin Pecina 23:37 23:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 33.5% 17.1 414 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.4 4.6 5.1 4.2 4.1 3.2 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.1
Semi-State 100% 7.1 219 0.1 2.0 4.3 10.3 16.9 20.4 28.1 13.6 4.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 46 33.8 66.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 18 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Neal 66.1% 59.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 49.0% 56.5%
Morgan Gannon 33.5% 119.9 0.0% 0.1%
Mackenzie Holland 33.5% 122.3 0.0% 0.1%
Haley Makowski 33.5% 144.9 0.0% 0.0%
Aislynn Alkire 33.5% 160.4 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Marshall 33.5% 165.6 0.0% 0.0%
Reagan Hoke 33.5% 165.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Neal 100% 21.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.0 3.9 3.1 5.8 6.1 5.8 6.2 5.7 7.3 6.6 7.3 7.6 100.0%
Morgan Gannon 100% 48.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Mackenzie Holland 100% 50.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Haley Makowski 100% 67.5 0.1 100.0%
Aislynn Alkire 100% 82.5 99.6%
Nicole Marshall 100% 86.1 99.4%
Reagan Hoke 100% 87.7 99.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Neal 100% 2.5 9.0 20.6 40.9 24.3 3.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Morgan Gannon 100% 8.2 0.1 2.5 9.2 12.0 12.8 11.6 10.6 10.8 9.2 7.2 6.1 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Mackenzie Holland 100% 8.7 1.2 6.9 10.1 12.1 11.5 12.4 10.5 10.3 7.7 7.4 5.0 3.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Haley Makowski 100% 12.7 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.7 4.3 5.9 7.7 9.4 10.4 11.2 11.7 11.4 8.0 6.5 3.6 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Aislynn Alkire 100% 16.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.8 3.6 4.3 6.2 8.9 10.8 11.2 12.0 10.7 8.7 6.0 4.2 2.5 2.6 1.6 0.8 100.0%
Nicole Marshall 100% 16.9 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.6 3.5 4.6 6.0 9.7 11.8 12.5 11.2 9.2 8.1 5.8 4.3 3.0 1.7 1.9 100.0%
Reagan Hoke 100% 17.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.9 6.4 7.1 10.0 13.0 13.1 11.0 7.7 5.8 4.7 3.5 2.7 1.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Neal 1.0 99.4 0.7
Morgan Gannon 2.4 38.7 31.2 21.6 6.9 1.5 0.3
Mackenzie Holland 2.6 26.8 36.6 23.5 10.4 2.4 0.4 0.1
Haley Makowski 4.3 3.4 10.1 24.6 37.6 14.5 6.5 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Aislynn Alkire 6.1 0.3 1.4 4.7 13.7 27.2 24.5 17.8 5.4 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1
Nicole Marshall 6.7 0.1 0.6 2.8 8.7 21.9 24.4 26.6 6.9 4.0 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1
Reagan Hoke 6.8 0.2 0.5 2.4 7.4 18.4 27.6 26.1 9.6 4.3 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1