Pike
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #25
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #11
Noblesville Regional Rank #8
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 0.7%
Advance to Semi-State 2.3%
Advance to Regional 99.3%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Taylor University Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 356 405 386 379 287 358 369 344 368
Team Adjusted Rating 405 386 379 287 358 369 344 368
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Taylor University Invitational THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
52  Jessica Velez 11 19:16 19:34 19:21 19:13 18:59 19:25 19:35 18:55 19:31 19:10 19:08
106  Cara Karmolinski 11 19:45 19:59 19:59 19:42 19:29 19:38 19:41 19:46 19:49 19:51
255  Ella Garvin 11 20:30 20:35 20:04 20:37 20:22 20:27 20:26 20:42 20:39
267  Eleanor Holohan 9 20:33 21:14 21:07 21:16 20:20 20:48 20:35 20:05 20:23
412  Chyane Dansby 11 21:02 21:14 21:22 20:48 20:57 20:48 21:02 21:18 20:59
425  Katelin Schwab 10 21:04 20:42 21:00 21:03 20:21 21:18 21:03 21:04 21:56
699  Kristiana Read 10 21:52 22:14 22:34 21:43 22:07 22:04 21:52 21:29 21:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.7% 12.6 338 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 2.4% 6.8 196 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.6
Regionals 99.3% 7.3 170 0.3 2.1 14.8 38.2 42.8 1.2
Sectionals 100% 4.6 101 0.6 3.2 29.9 65.6 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 53.4% 46.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 53.0% 53.3%
Cara Karmolinski 3.5% 71.5 0.1 0.1 2.8% 3.1%
Ella Garvin 0.7% 123.0 0.0% 0.0%
Eleanor Holohan 0.7% 128.0 0.0% 0.0%
Chyane Dansby 0.7% 166.0 0.0% 0.0%
Katelin Schwab 0.7% 165.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kristiana Read 0.7% 196.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 99.8% 22.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 2.3 1.4 2.2 3.8 3.1 4.0 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.6 3.3 4.0 4.1 3.8 4.5 99.8% 99.8%
Cara Karmolinski 79.0% 42.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.7 78.5% 79.0%
Ella Garvin 3.4% 64.0 1.1% 1.4%
Eleanor Holohan 3.1% 68.3 0.8% 1.0%
Chyane Dansby 2.4% 87.5 0.0% 0.0%
Katelin Schwab 2.4% 89.8 0.0% 0.0%
Kristiana Read 2.4% 127.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 100% 13.8 0.2 0.8 1.1 3.5 5.0 4.9 5.7 6.6 6.4 6.2 4.9 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.4 5.0 5.4 4.6 2.9 3.2 2.8 2.0 1.7 100.0% 100.0%
Cara Karmolinski 100% 26.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.8 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.9 5.9 6.6 100.0% 100.0%
Ella Garvin 100% 46.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Eleanor Holohan 100% 47.8 100.0% 100.0%
Chyane Dansby 100% 58.6 100.0% 99.7%
Katelin Schwab 100.0% 58.9 93.3% 99.8%
Kristiana Read 99.3% 74.4 6.7% 57.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 7.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 13.2 17.3 15.9 18.6 16.1 8.8 4.5 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1
Cara Karmolinski 11.7 0.1 0.8 1.7 3.5 7.4 12.1 14.9 14.0 10.9 8.4 7.6 5.7 4.3 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2
Ella Garvin 24.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.4 3.2 2.7 3.7 4.7 7.1 7.4 7.9 8.6 8.3
Eleanor Holohan 25.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 4.3 4.5 6.1 7.3 9.3 9.3
Chyane Dansby 31.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.7
Katelin Schwab 31.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7
Kristiana Read 40.8