Riley
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #147
New Haven Semi-State Rank #43
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #13
Riley Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 47.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/5 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 1,167 1,284 1,133 1,139 1,202 1,059 1,235 1,159 1,196 1,200 1,248
Team Adjusted Rating 1,121 1,121 1,135 1,202 1,059 1,235 1,159 1,167 1,200 1,248
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
666  Marissa Kenney 12 21:47 21:40 21:37 21:31 22:00 21:25 21:21 21:52 22:22 21:54 21:58
918  Rose Coman 12 22:19 21:29 21:57 22:14 22:06 21:55 23:05 22:16 22:29 22:51 22:27
1,402  Sarah Cimoch 11 23:23 23:27 23:01 24:06 23:16 25:47 22:54 22:45 23:03 24:10
Savannah Kulcsar 11 23:51 24:12 24:17 24:00 23:44 23:38 23:28 24:01 23:41 23:56 24:05
Maria Alonso Arias 12 23:57 24:33 23:14 23:34 24:08 24:04 24:05
Margaret Whitmer 10 24:41 24:02 23:31 24:01 23:57 24:00 26:00 25:16 24:51 27:17
Lettie Ringer 10 26:50 27:53 26:47 26:06 27:52 27:12 26:35 26:38
Maria Orta 10 27:49 28:47 27:34 28:25 28:25 27:28 27:11 28:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 47.0% 9.6 233 0.1 17.1 29.8
Sectionals 100% 5.5 150 16.5 30.5 44.3 8.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Kenney 18.3% 125.1 18.3% 18.3%
Rose Coman 0.2% 144.3 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Kenney 100% 38.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Rose Coman 100% 53.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sarah Cimoch 99.8% 68.5 99.6% 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Kenney 16.9 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.5 5.6 6.5 7.5 10.1 12.6 14.7 13.3 7.2 6.4 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.4
Rose Coman 22.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.5 6.2 8.5 9.3 10.7 11.1 9.3 9.1
Sarah Cimoch 33.2 0.1 0.1