Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 12th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 38.7%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Valpo Jamboree Rudy Skorupa Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 257 818 448 388 320 800 362 366 301 294 235
Team Adjusted Rating 295 312 264 320 278 362 322 301 294 235
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valpo Jamboree Rudy Skorupa Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
21  Ava Gilliana 12 18:47 19:07 19:26 18:57 18:57 18:44 18:55 18:39
92  Aubree Foreman 10 19:35 19:37 19:24 19:19 19:57 19:53 19:31 19:38 19:31
142  Lillian Maldia 10 20:00 20:45 19:48 20:17 20:54 20:37 20:05 19:51
170  Nicole Brandy 12 20:07 20:37 20:35 20:41 20:38 20:18 20:26 19:59
206  Grace Thomas 9 20:16 22:06 22:40 20:58 21:24 21:01 20:58 20:55 20:35 20:07
308  Emily Worthington 11 20:41 20:42 20:35 20:53 20:35 20:38 20:44
409  Sarah Worthington 11 21:02 20:09 20:47 21:27 21:20 20:46 21:01 21:20
437  Xanthi Tsagris 12 21:06 21:43 21:06 20:53 21:11 21:01 21:08
502  Ruth Stamp 12 21:19 20:58 21:21 21:34 21:18
766  Julieanna Li 9 22:00 21:34 21:50 22:04 21:40 22:14 22:32
877  Anastasia Tsagris 12 22:14 21:54 22:29 23:04 21:53
931  Abigail Artherhults 10 22:21 22:09 22:50 22:27 22:09 22:28 22:15
1,046  Cheyenne Stock 9 22:36 22:37
1,155  Olympia Berbesque 9 22:49 22:41 22:37 22:44 22:17 23:41 23:04
1,219  Ella Wagner 10 22:57 22:38 22:54 23:14 22:48 23:05 23:00
1,334  Maryn Lazar 11 23:13 22:45 23:19 23:26 23:17
Christine Harris 12 23:45 26:52 24:03 25:19 23:12 23:16 23:25
Annalee Cvelbar 11 23:55 23:53 24:09 23:44 24:08 23:47
Maddie Braming 10 23:58 23:50 24:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 11.8 324 0.2 0.9 2.7 3.8 6.2 6.9 9.4 8.8 8.3 10.6 9.7 8.0 7.7 5.8 4.0 3.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.5 105 54.3 39.4 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 42 96.3 3.3 0.5
Sectionals 100% 1.0 41 96.2 3.5 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 20.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.8 2.7 4.0 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.1 4.5 3.8 4.4 3.3 3.6 2.5 2.7 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Aubree Foreman 100.0% 80.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 59.2%
Lillian Maldia 100.0% 113.0 0.0% 13.0%
Nicole Brandy 100.0% 124.8 0.0% 4.8%
Grace Thomas 100.0% 136.5 0.0% 2.0%
Emily Worthington 100.0% 164.5 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Worthington 100.0% 183.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 2.3 5.2 37.6 21.0 12.8 8.2 5.6 3.4 2.7 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Aubree Foreman 100% 15.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.7 5.0 4.4 7.5 6.6 7.2 6.4 5.9 6.5 4.8 5.7 4.8 3.3 3.2 2.7 3.3 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.5 2.4 3.2 3.2 4.5 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.3 100.0%
Nicole Brandy 100% 31.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.1 2.3 3.7 3.3 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 36.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.2 99.9%
Emily Worthington 100% 57.6 0.1 94.0%
Sarah Worthington 100% 80.0 64.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 100% 1.0 57.0 30.5 11.4 1.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Aubree Foreman 100% 4.6 0.8 7.4 28.5 21.3 15.3 10.6 6.6 3.9 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 9.7 0.1 1.3 3.5 7.3 8.4 10.6 11.0 11.6 10.2 8.9 7.1 5.8 5.2 3.3 3.0 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nicole Brandy 100% 11.7 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.7 6.5 8.3 9.6 9.2 11.7 10.1 9.2 8.1 6.4 5.1 2.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 14.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.1 3.5 5.7 6.9 7.9 9.9 11.0 9.8 9.4 9.0 7.4 4.8 3.0 2.3 1.6 0.9 1.0 0.5 100.0%
Emily Worthington 100% 20.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 3.5 4.1 5.2 7.5 8.5 9.8 10.4 8.2 6.6 6.4 4.6 100.0%
Sarah Worthington 100% 28.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.9 5.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava Gilliana 1.0 54.2 32.2 12.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1
Aubree Foreman 4.5 0.7 6.8 29.9 23.4 16.3 10.0 6.8 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Lillian Maldia 9.0 1.2 5.2 8.1 10.7 11.9 13.4 13.6 12.9 9.2 6.2 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nicole Brandy 10.7 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.0 5.1 8.6 9.9 11.5 12.2 13.9 12.2 9.5 5.2 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Grace Thomas 12.4 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.5 6.0 7.7 10.6 13.3 13.4 12.8 10.3 8.1 4.6 3.1 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emily Worthington 17.5 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.4 2.5 5.2 8.5 11.8 13.1 14.5 10.6 9.2 6.8 5.2 3.5 2.9 1.9
Sarah Worthington 22.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.3 5.2 7.8 8.4 9.8 8.6 9.0 8.5 8.4