Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #35
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #9
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 42.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 412 396 362 719 432 376 402 472 433 439
Team Adjusted Rating 396 362 410 432 376 402 424 433 439
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
94  Wini Barnett 10 19:36 19:57 19:31 19:51 19:20 19:14 19:51 19:20 20:19
150  Ava Knight 10 20:02 20:21 20:00 20:18 20:19 20:15 20:07 20:18 19:48
329  Adree Beckham 11 20:46 20:03 20:28 20:47 20:47 20:47 21:01 20:58
365  Erika Bugg 9 20:53 20:51 20:54 21:00 20:46 21:02 20:59 20:56 20:39
387  Amanda Lusinde 10 20:56 20:23 25:19 20:44 20:21 20:41 20:48 21:00 22:43
512  Regan Brouwer 10 21:21 22:18 22:48 23:12 22:34 21:06 21:16 21:33 21:06
518  Mikayla Mimnaugh 9 21:23 20:49 21:49 20:54 21:02 21:52 22:20 21:03
555  Macelyn Marcuccilli 10 21:30 21:14 21:31 21:21 21:29 21:19 21:22 21:41 22:06
642  Alex Price 9 21:43 22:08 21:12 21:42 22:22 21:21 21:49
947  Whitney Shepherd 11 22:22 22:32 22:22 22:37 22:24 22:12 22:21
1,019  Jadyn Kolesiak 12 22:34 21:22 22:45 21:15 22:22 23:47 23:07
1,059  Hanna Bloemendaal 12 22:38 20:54 21:59 22:23 22:47 23:20 23:12
1,080  Lillian Boston 11 22:40 22:33 22:19 23:03 23:02 22:36 22:37
1,237  Amslie Howett 12 23:00 23:46 23:22 23:47 23:02 23:04 22:29
1,333  Katie Wahl 10 23:13 23:38 23:27 24:07 23:12 22:37 23:01
1,390  Florencia Viera 11 23:20 23:30 23:27 23:17 22:56 24:14 23:11
Josie Niebbia 10 23:35 21:51 23:26 23:55 24:06
Vianey Lucio 12 23:39 23:06 23:11 23:17 25:00 23:43 23:56
Mariana Malagon 10 24:31 23:52 24:54 25:18 24:42 24:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 42.2% 21.0 491 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.1 3.4 6.3 6.9 9.0 7.1 4.4
Semi-State 100% 6.7 208 0.1 1.2 7.2 8.6 12.6 12.7 15.0 18.3 20.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 46 99.0 1.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 39 98.5 1.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 69.9% 75.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 47.8% 61.5%
Ava Knight 43.5% 106.3 2.2% 8.9%
Adree Beckham 42.2% 161.9 0.0% 0.0%
Erika Bugg 42.2% 168.7 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Lusinde 42.2% 171.9 0.0% 0.0%
Regan Brouwer 42.2% 189.1 0.0% 0.0%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 42.2% 190.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 100% 16.3 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.6 4.1 5.3 5.5 6.8 4.8 7.1 5.1 7.0 6.8 6.0 5.0 4.7 4.8 3.1 2.5 2.7 100.0%
Ava Knight 100% 28.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.6 4.1 5.2 3.9 100.0%
Adree Beckham 100% 62.1 0.1 100.0%
Erika Bugg 100% 70.3 100.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 74.3 100.0%
Regan Brouwer 100% 102.2 97.1%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 104.0 96.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 100% 3.2 5.0 11.8 24.6 42.4 10.9 4.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Ava Knight 100% 5.4 0.1 0.4 1.3 7.9 30.6 23.2 18.4 10.4 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Adree Beckham 100% 13.0 0.5 1.3 3.3 5.6 7.4 9.9 10.3 11.5 11.5 11.1 9.5 6.4 5.0 3.1 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 100.0%
Erika Bugg 100% 14.9 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.2 3.7 6.2 7.6 8.2 9.7 12.7 11.7 10.4 9.1 5.8 4.3 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 100.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 15.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.1 4.2 5.8 6.9 8.4 10.7 11.5 12.0 9.6 8.1 7.3 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 100.0%
Regan Brouwer 100% 21.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 2.1 3.1 5.7 6.2 8.9 10.9 12.1 12.4 10.7 9.4 100.0%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 22.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 3.2 4.3 6.8 7.4 10.2 11.1 12.4 12.2 10.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 3.2 5.6 11.6 24.2 47.6 10.3 0.8 0.2
Ava Knight 4.8 0.1 0.2 1.6 8.3 47.8 34.1 6.8 1.1 0.1 0.1
Adree Beckham 8.4 0.1 2.7 15.0 23.4 22.8 16.4 9.6 5.1 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2
Erika Bugg 9.6 1.1 6.7 14.7 15.9 19.9 17.3 11.2 5.9 4.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.1
Amanda Lusinde 10.1 0.5 5.3 9.8 14.5 19.0 17.9 12.9 10.1 5.7 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1
Regan Brouwer 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 4.3 8.1 13.0 14.7 17.5 16.2 13.7 6.2 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Mikayla Mimnaugh 14.7 0.3 1.4 3.8 8.0 9.9 15.1 16.2 18.5 14.7 6.5 3.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1