Western
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #116
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #26
Culver Academies Regional Rank #6
Logansport Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 35.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 944 1,209 915 923 855 1,053 1,005 986 887 997
Team Adjusted Rating 931 915 923 855 1,053 1,005 986 887 997
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
517  Olivia Lushin 12 21:23 21:29 21:25 21:17 21:32 21:17 21:27 20:57 21:34 21:32
763  Hannah Lushin 12 22:00 21:56 22:05 21:45 22:34 21:57 22:27 21:50 21:49 21:57
951  Sarah Manuel 11 22:23 21:50 22:13 21:53 21:51 23:37 22:40 22:43 21:59 22:48
1,147  Alivia Ford 11 22:48 22:40 22:40 22:30 22:15 22:56 23:18 22:48 23:05 22:55
1,227  Kourtney Lechner 9 22:59 23:27 22:44 23:16 22:53 22:42 23:21 22:47 22:43 23:20
Destiny Herr 9 23:38 23:51 23:22 23:28 23:11 24:46
Olivia Shoemaker 10 23:50 24:48 24:36 25:15 24:42 25:35 23:56 24:11 23:18 24:05
Emma Thompson 10 24:46
Karly Lechner 9 24:56 24:21 24:21 24:20 24:41 26:44 25:34
Madisyn Connolly 10 25:02 24:17 24:22 24:14 26:03 25:35 25:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 35.8% 19.8 517 0.2 0.6 4.1 30.9
Regionals 100% 5.6 159 7.2 28.6 58.8 4.7 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.4 77 58.4 41.0 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 99.5% 102.4 99.1% 99.3%
Hannah Lushin 65.1% 129.4 45.6% 47.3%
Sarah Manuel 38.1% 143.8 3.6% 4.7%
Alivia Ford 35.8% 157.6 0.0% 0.1%
Kourtney Lechner 35.8% 161.6 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 100% 22.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.6 5.3 6.2 9.5 8.6 10.7 12.2 11.0 9.5 100.0%
Hannah Lushin 100% 30.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.2 100.0%
Sarah Manuel 100% 38.3 0.1 100.0%
Alivia Ford 100% 47.8 99.8%
Kourtney Lechner 100% 50.3 99.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 7.5 0.7 1.3 4.8 15.6 53.7 16.9 5.3 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Hannah Lushin 10.8 0.2 0.7 12.5 18.7 21.6 18.4 11.7 7.0 4.0 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Sarah Manuel 14.7 0.3 1.6 4.0 8.4 12.9 13.2 14.2 10.7 8.9 7.5 8.6 5.6 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.1
Alivia Ford 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 3.5 4.0 6.4 7.2 9.7 12.9 16.4 18.0 12.4 4.4 1.4
Kourtney Lechner 21.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.9 3.7 4.8 7.4 12.2 19.8 26.7 12.0 4.8