All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington Invitational |
DeKalb Baron Classic |
Marion Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invite |
New Haven Invitational |
NE8 Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
Team Rating |
406 |
538 |
584 |
447 |
889 |
410 |
398 |
392 |
420 |
392 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
538 |
485 |
447 |
397 |
410 |
398 |
392 |
420 |
392 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington Invitational |
DeKalb Baron Classic |
Marion Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invite |
New Haven Invitational |
NE8 Conference |
Marion Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
9 |
Addy Wiley |
11 |
18:28 |
18:13 |
18:45 |
18:23 |
|
18:27 |
18:53 |
18:41 |
18:30 |
18:36 |
18:20 |
205 |
Hanna Whitney |
12 |
20:23 |
20:35 |
|
20:37 |
20:09 |
19:57 |
20:28 |
20:27 |
20:33 |
20:22 |
|
286 |
Johanna Brag |
9 |
20:37 |
22:25 |
21:03 |
21:13 |
|
21:06 |
20:32 |
20:32 |
20:31 |
20:23 |
|
401 |
Gracie Fields |
9 |
21:01 |
21:08 |
21:02 |
20:43 |
|
21:06 |
21:18 |
20:56 |
20:49 |
21:07 |
|
443 |
Ella Colclesser |
9 |
21:09 |
21:22 |
22:04 |
21:23 |
|
20:57 |
20:38 |
20:58 |
21:35 |
21:01 |
|
696 |
Elle McDonald |
9 |
21:50 |
|
22:25 |
|
22:27 |
22:14 |
21:41 |
21:40 |
21:49 |
21:34 |
|
917 |
Lily Clanin |
12 |
22:24 |
23:28 |
22:40 |
22:15 |
22:21 |
22:19 |
21:56 |
22:50 |
22:22 |
22:14 |
|
983 |
Regan Slagel |
11 |
22:33 |
22:24 |
21:57 |
22:09 |
|
|
24:40 |
|
|
|
|
1,118 |
Kaylee Brooks |
10 |
22:50 |
|
23:11 |
23:11 |
22:38 |
22:21 |
23:01 |
|
|
|
|
1,181 |
Alyse Geiger |
10 |
22:57 |
|
23:34 |
23:23 |
22:53 |
22:27 |
22:55 |
|
|
|
|
1,191 |
Jane Gayed |
9 |
22:58 |
|
23:34 |
|
22:59 |
23:09 |
22:28 |
|
|
|
|
1,234 |
Adrianna Nightenhelser |
10 |
23:04 |
|
22:53 |
23:18 |
22:56 |
|
23:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Naomi Richison |
12 |
24:24 |
|
23:53 |
23:39 |
25:08 |
24:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
100% |
7.6 |
242 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
4.9 |
11.3 |
32.3 |
27.5 |
13.9 |
5.6 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
56 |
90.4 |
8.0 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
96.1 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Addy Wiley |
100% |
12.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Hanna Whitney |
1.4% |
110.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
1.4% |
Johanna Brag |
0.1% |
122.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Addy Wiley |
100% |
3.7 |
1.1 |
9.7 |
24.0 |
20.7 |
15.5 |
10.6 |
7.4 |
5.5 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Hanna Whitney |
100% |
52.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
Johanna Brag |
100% |
65.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
99.9% |
Gracie Fields |
100% |
86.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.2% |
Ella Colclesser |
100% |
94.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.9% |
Elle McDonald |
100% |
134.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.2% |
Lily Clanin |
100% |
152.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Addy Wiley |
100% |
1.0 |
78.0 |
16.7 |
4.7 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Hanna Whitney |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
2.1 |
3.9 |
7.6 |
9.8 |
10.7 |
12.4 |
12.5 |
11.6 |
9.8 |
7.8 |
4.7 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
Johanna Brag |
100% |
13.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
9.5 |
12.0 |
12.8 |
12.7 |
9.8 |
7.4 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Gracie Fields |
100% |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
9.9 |
10.7 |
10.3 |
9.1 |
8.2 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
Ella Colclesser |
100% |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
6.6 |
8.0 |
9.5 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
8.9 |
7.7 |
6.7 |
|
100.0% |
Elle McDonald |
100% |
32.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
Lily Clanin |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Addy Wiley |
1.0 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hanna Whitney |
2.3 |
|
41.9 |
30.4 |
16.9 |
7.4 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Johanna Brag |
3.8 |
|
7.2 |
21.3 |
26.4 |
21.3 |
14.4 |
6.3 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gracie Fields |
6.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
9.3 |
15.8 |
22.9 |
21.4 |
13.4 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ella Colclesser |
8.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.6 |
7.9 |
15.4 |
21.7 |
22.9 |
11.7 |
8.4 |
6.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Elle McDonald |
12.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
13.9 |
43.3 |
21.9 |
4.2 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lily Clanin |
15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
15.3 |
32.3 |
23.6 |
14.9 |
7.4 |
3.0 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|