All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Warsaw Invitational |
Northwood Invite |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
NLC Round Robin |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/25 |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/12 |
9/17 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
757 |
699 |
881 |
662 |
743 |
718 |
761 |
850 |
791 |
777 |
808 |
777 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
699 |
714 |
662 |
743 |
718 |
761 |
783 |
791 |
777 |
745 |
771 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Warsaw Invitational |
Northwood Invite |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
NLC Round Robin |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 266 |
Sarah Beshara |
11 |
20:33 |
19:55 |
20:31 |
20:34 |
20:29 |
20:43 |
20:50 |
20:32 |
20:34 |
20:49 |
20:39 |
20:20 |
| 423 |
Jada Rogers |
9 |
21:06 |
20:27 |
20:33 |
21:29 |
21:12 |
20:54 |
20:49 |
21:08 |
21:29 |
21:08 |
21:05 |
21:34 |
| 660 |
Rachel Williams |
12 |
21:44 |
22:22 |
|
22:02 |
21:39 |
21:43 |
21:35 |
21:43 |
22:02 |
21:59 |
21:26 |
21:41 |
| 940 |
Bailee Shambaugh |
12 |
22:27 |
22:05 |
22:30 |
22:40 |
22:30 |
21:54 |
22:36 |
22:52 |
22:40 |
22:31 |
|
|
| 997 |
Camryn Long |
10 |
22:34 |
22:26 |
22:22 |
21:54 |
22:20 |
22:51 |
24:29 |
|
21:54 |
|
|
|
| 1,054 |
Natalie Scott |
12 |
22:42 |
22:33 |
|
22:15 |
22:56 |
22:31 |
22:39 |
23:42 |
22:15 |
22:17 |
22:47 |
22:33 |
| 1,106 |
Jillian Waelbroeck |
9 |
22:49 |
26:25 |
25:03 |
24:56 |
24:00 |
24:30 |
23:39 |
|
24:56 |
|
23:18 |
22:32 |
|
Abrielle Flick |
10 |
24:38 |
25:41 |
25:38 |
25:31 |
24:59 |
24:47 |
24:42 |
24:11 |
25:31 |
26:30 |
24:42 |
24:20 |
|
Kaitlynn Kruger |
12 |
25:18 |
25:53 |
|
|
25:16 |
27:25 |
25:10 |
24:14 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
18.0 |
445 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
6.0 |
11.1 |
15.7 |
21.8 |
23.4 |
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.4 |
140 |
|
|
12.8 |
34.4 |
49.9 |
2.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
88 |
|
35.7 |
64.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sarah Beshara |
0.4% |
117.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sarah Beshara |
100% |
61.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jada Rogers |
100% |
90.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.8% |
| Rachel Williams |
100% |
128.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.9% |
| Bailee Shambaugh |
100% |
153.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Natalie Scott |
100% |
159.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Jillian Waelbroeck |
100% |
161.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sarah Beshara |
100% |
12.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
7.9 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
14.9 |
17.4 |
11.6 |
4.9 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Jada Rogers |
100% |
17.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
9.6 |
13.8 |
14.0 |
11.8 |
9.6 |
7.4 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Rachel Williams |
100% |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Bailee Shambaugh |
100% |
46.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Natalie Scott |
100% |
53.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Jillian Waelbroeck |
100% |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.5% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sarah Beshara |
8.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
4.8 |
6.5 |
8.6 |
12.3 |
15.9 |
30.5 |
16.4 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jada Rogers |
10.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
4.0 |
18.2 |
40.6 |
14.9 |
8.1 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Rachel Williams |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
6.7 |
8.3 |
10.8 |
12.4 |
13.5 |
13.8 |
11.0 |
6.9 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
| Bailee Shambaugh |
24.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
6.4 |
11.0 |
12.3 |
12.1 |
12.6 |
| Natalie Scott |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
6.0 |
7.5 |
| Jillian Waelbroeck |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
|
