All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
NLC Round Robin |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/12 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
Team Rating |
450 |
636 |
509 |
554 |
535 |
|
729 |
513 |
517 |
461 |
405 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
636 |
509 |
554 |
535 |
|
562 |
513 |
517 |
461 |
405 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
NLC Round Robin |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
70 |
Haylee Hile |
10 |
19:31 |
20:12 |
19:50 |
19:31 |
19:23 |
|
19:47 |
19:50 |
19:54 |
19:30 |
19:17 |
19:53 |
172 |
Tame Baylis |
10 |
20:15 |
19:53 |
20:12 |
20:51 |
19:53 |
|
|
20:12 |
20:21 |
20:15 |
20:25 |
|
187 |
Clare Ritchie |
11 |
20:21 |
20:58 |
20:22 |
20:52 |
20:59 |
|
20:25 |
20:22 |
20:39 |
20:19 |
20:06 |
|
411 |
Emma Long |
10 |
21:03 |
21:47 |
21:35 |
21:21 |
21:01 |
|
21:34 |
21:35 |
21:11 |
21:09 |
20:48 |
|
619 |
Ella Hoefer |
11 |
21:39 |
23:26 |
22:00 |
22:07 |
22:53 |
|
22:47 |
22:00 |
22:04 |
21:46 |
21:24 |
|
865 |
Kylie McMann |
10 |
22:16 |
|
22:59 |
24:29 |
23:41 |
NEI |
23:27 |
22:59 |
23:08 |
22:11 |
22:00 |
|
1,060 |
Bria Jones |
9 |
22:43 |
24:06 |
22:56 |
22:19 |
23:04 |
NEI |
23:07 |
22:56 |
23:16 |
22:25 |
22:27 |
|
1,428 |
Delaney Lopez |
11 |
23:29 |
23:17 |
23:31 |
23:21 |
23:05 |
|
24:09 |
23:31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hayley Troyer |
11 |
23:38 |
24:24 |
23:26 |
23:38 |
23:12 |
|
23:34 |
23:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Karsyn Smaka |
10 |
24:19 |
25:32 |
23:41 |
24:54 |
25:48 |
NEI |
23:39 |
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
100% |
8.3 |
256 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
6.9 |
22.8 |
27.0 |
20.7 |
11.5 |
5.4 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
65 |
0.6 |
99.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
30 |
99.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Haylee Hile |
89.4% |
63.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
89.4% |
89.4% |
Tame Baylis |
4.2% |
106.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.2% |
4.2% |
Clare Ritchie |
2.0% |
109.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
2.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Haylee Hile |
100% |
16.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
5.0 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
Tame Baylis |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
Clare Ritchie |
100% |
49.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
Emma Long |
100% |
88.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.7% |
Ella Hoefer |
100% |
124.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.9% |
Kylie McMann |
100% |
149.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
Bria Jones |
100% |
159.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Haylee Hile |
100% |
1.1 |
47.3 |
22.4 |
13.8 |
8.4 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Tame Baylis |
100% |
8.4 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
4.2 |
6.8 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
11.0 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
10.5 |
8.7 |
7.0 |
4.1 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Clare Ritchie |
100% |
9.6 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
7.3 |
8.7 |
10.1 |
10.8 |
10.5 |
11.6 |
10.8 |
10.6 |
7.6 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Emma Long |
100% |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
4.9 |
10.6 |
15.6 |
14.4 |
11.7 |
8.7 |
7.3 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
Ella Hoefer |
100% |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
Kylie McMann |
100% |
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Bria Jones |
100% |
54.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Haylee Hile |
1.0 |
80.4 |
19.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tame Baylis |
3.0 |
0.1 |
9.3 |
41.0 |
33.5 |
14.9 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Clare Ritchie |
3.5 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
25.7 |
39.1 |
28.0 |
2.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Emma Long |
6.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
4.2 |
35.2 |
22.5 |
12.9 |
9.2 |
6.5 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ella Hoefer |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
10.5 |
12.5 |
13.1 |
11.9 |
10.6 |
7.6 |
5.3 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Kylie McMann |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.8 |
6.5 |
9.4 |
13.7 |
14.4 |
12.8 |
10.2 |
7.7 |
5.7 |
4.0 |
Bria Jones |
26.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
9.3 |
|