Penn
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #14
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 38.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational West Noble Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/25 8/29 9/5 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/19 9/24 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 306 305 289 240 950 339 294 1,154 NEI 272 331 538 361 380 310
Team Adjusted Rating 283 289 240 306 304 294 306 NEI 272 331 299 337 380 310
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational West Noble Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
83  Julie Smith 11 19:41 19:50 19:52 19:59 19:50 19:28 19:52 19:50 19:27 19:41
101  Nicole Marshall 12 19:49 20:00 19:44 19:33 19:49 19:37 19:59 19:33 19:48 20:57 19:46
148  Morgan Gannon 11 20:08 19:56 19:48 19:34 19:50 19:41 19:59 20:18 20:40 22:30
163  Mary Eubank 9 20:11 19:41 20:08 19:32 19:52 20:08 20:19 20:28 20:37 20:14 20:18
171  Ava Gillis 12 20:15 20:29 20:24 19:56 20:14 20:10 20:09 20:25 20:21 20:21 20:08
217  Ellie Stabnik 9 20:25 20:14 20:10 20:21 20:42 20:17 20:18 21:01 20:46 21:00 20:17
244  Haley Makowski 12 20:29 21:20 21:05 20:26 20:21 20:30 21:06 20:44 21:04 20:21
378  Nikki Jerzak 11 20:58 20:23 20:51 20:50 20:23 20:39 21:10 21:28 21:12 21:10
440  Reagan Hoke 12 21:08 20:12 21:13 21:14 20:59 21:11 20:45 21:44 21:16
487  Mackenzie Holland 11 21:16 20:30 21:03 21:00 20:53 21:34 22:16
656  Kaylie Hanyzewski 9 21:44 21:44 21:29 21:44 21:29 21:41 21:37 21:54 22:03
854  Yazmine Juarez 9 22:14 22:40 21:42 21:41 22:12 21:19 23:20 22:11 22:41
912  Megan Ungerecht 12 22:23 22:43 22:19 21:57 22:34 22:18 NEI 22:22 22:08
978  Molly Chapla 10 22:32 22:35 23:14 22:05 22:37 22:22 NEI 22:40
1,026  Kassidy Pentelow 9 22:39 23:04 22:32 22:20 22:50 22:57 NEI 22:36
1,034  Linden Ransbottom 10 22:40 23:01 22:26 22:32 22:17 NEI
1,131  Katie Cassbon 12 22:51 22:56 23:06 24:29 23:00 22:21 22:26 22:43
1,142  Hannah Cussen 12 22:53 22:39 22:45 23:17 22:49 NEI 23:05
1,279  Teagan Oldfather 9 23:11 25:04 23:01 23:13 23:08 23:10 NEI 22:50
1,315  Morgan Collins 10 23:15 25:29 24:18 23:12 22:59 NEI 22:38
1,341  Abby Stevens 10 23:19 23:05 23:15 23:25 24:03 22:58 NEI 23:02
Sia Grewal 9 23:44 24:05 23:09 22:55 27:04
Maycie Cummings 9 23:51 24:03 25:11 23:59 24:06 23:33 NEI 23:29
Rachael Gindling 9 24:09 24:39 23:05 24:03 NEI
Sheela Soni 11 24:17 24:31 24:34 24:29 NEI 22:59
Paige Horsley 10 32:11 21:10 34:01 NEI 32:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.5 350 0.2 1.0 3.2 4.5 6.5 7.4 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.0 7.4 7.1 6.3 5.2 4.6 4.3 3.1 2.6 2.6 1.8 1.3 0.5
Semi-State 100% 3.8 147 3.4 41.9 33.2 13.0 6.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 30 99.5 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julie Smith 100% 78.1 0.0 0.0 65.2%
Nicole Marshall 100% 89.3 47.0%
Morgan Gannon 100% 115.1 11.7%
Mary Eubank 100% 120.2 7.7%
Ava Gillis 100% 126.4 4.8%
Ellie Stabnik 100% 140.4 1.3%
Haley Makowski 100% 145.8 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julie Smith 100% 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.7 4.6 4.8 5.3 5.8 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.2 100.0%
Nicole Marshall 100% 25.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.0 3.8 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.3 100.0%
Morgan Gannon 100% 38.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 100.0%
Mary Eubank 100% 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 100.0%
Ava Gillis 100% 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 100.0%
Ellie Stabnik 100% 54.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Haley Makowski 100% 57.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julie Smith 100% 2.3 17.8 24.2 23.0 18.1 10.1 4.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Nicole Marshall 100% 3.5 6.3 13.8 18.3 21.5 19.9 9.5 5.5 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Morgan Gannon 100% 6.6 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.9 11.8 17.9 17.2 13.9 10.5 7.7 5.3 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mary Eubank 100% 7.4 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.7 7.8 14.5 15.9 15.0 12.9 10.4 7.7 4.4 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ava Gillis 100% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.6 8.8 12.0 14.7 14.4 13.2 10.7 8.5 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ellie Stabnik 100% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.7 7.5 10.5 13.4 14.0 15.0 12.3 9.3 5.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Haley Makowski 100% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 4.4 7.8 10.3 13.5 16.1 15.4 13.2 7.6 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julie Smith 1.3 39.3 38.7 17.2 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
Nicole Marshall 2.1 15.0 31.3 37.7 10.8 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan Gannon 4.1 0.7 3.7 12.6 31.0 23.5 15.5 7.7 3.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
Mary Eubank 4.7 0.5 1.9 7.4 21.7 25.6 20.8 12.3 6.2 2.9 0.7 0.2
Ava Gillis 5.4 0.2 1.0 4.2 14.2 21.5 24.4 17.7 10.4 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ellie Stabnik 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.8 7.8 14.7 24.9 25.2 15.0 6.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Haley Makowski 7.5 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.3 9.9 18.5 29.0 22.3 9.9 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0