Pike
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #27
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #11
Noblesville Regional Rank #5
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Valley Kickoff Taylor University Invitational THSB State Preview Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 380 512 490 445 409 433 408 413 412 318 349
Team Adjusted Rating 512 490 445 409 433 408 413 412 318 349
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Kickoff Taylor University Invitational THSB State Preview Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
64  Jessica Velez 12 19:28 19:53 20:18 20:39 19:36 19:38 19:34 19:41 19:43 19:08 19:19 19:32
123  Katelin Schwab 11 19:57 20:09 20:28 19:40 20:15 20:19 20:09 20:08 20:07 19:52 19:42
251  Cara Karmolinski 12 20:30 21:43 21:00 20:55 20:34 20:39 20:34 20:17 20:17 20:09 20:33
307  Ella Garvin 12 20:43 21:11 20:42 20:20 20:41 20:47 20:46 20:53 20:57 20:29 20:31
388  Kristiana Read 11 21:00 21:14 21:53 21:22 22:08 21:16 21:37 21:25 21:08 20:38 20:52
522  Chyane Dansby 12 21:22 22:06 21:25 21:19 21:08 21:48 21:09 21:14 21:23 21:08 21:34
651  Rachel Schwab 9 21:43 22:15 21:35 21:29 21:45 22:04 21:20 22:10 21:41 21:49 21:27
682  Eleanor Holohan 10 21:48 21:34 21:35 21:19 21:54 22:44 21:35 21:54
959  Sogo Bakare 10 22:30 22:15 22:18 21:56 22:31 23:01 22:36
1,227  Shaina Alverson 10 23:03 23:15 23:06 23:02 23:08 22:44 23:14
1,306  Norah Kern 10 23:14 23:24 23:43 23:17 23:34 23:03 22:55
Elena Rosario 9 23:31 24:57 24:17 23:56 23:23 23:00 23:14 23:28
Amber Haynie 10 24:03 24:25 24:25 24:03 23:30 24:39 23:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.9 266 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.3 6.3 9.4 13.4 18.5 23.7 14.0 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.9 149 0.6 7.6 27.4 40.3 15.9 6.1 1.8 0.4
Sectionals 100% 2.5 85 1.9 54.3 34.4 7.4 1.9 0.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 12.2% 48.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 12.2% 12.2%
Katelin Schwab 0.1% 60.0 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.6 96.8%
Katelin Schwab 100% 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 59.8%
Cara Karmolinski 100% 78.5 5.9%
Ella Garvin 100% 93.2 1.2%
Kristiana Read 100% 110.6 0.1%
Chyane Dansby 100% 131.0 0.0%
Rachel Schwab 100% 148.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 100% 16.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.5 7.4 9.4 11.3 12.1 11.8 11.3 9.6 6.3 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.6 100.0%
Katelin Schwab 100% 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.8 6.4 10.4 11.9 12.0 10.5 8.2 100.0%
Cara Karmolinski 100% 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.8 100.0%
Ella Garvin 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Kristiana Read 100% 53.5 0.0 99.8%
Chyane Dansby 100% 61.2 95.6%
Rachel Schwab 100% 67.7 72.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Velez 6.8 0.1 0.8 26.1 28.0 23.6 11.5 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Katelin Schwab 10.6 0.3 2.0 5.8 15.3 16.3 18.4 13.8 9.0 6.5 4.0 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cara Karmolinski 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.6 5.8 6.0 7.4 8.4 9.3 9.4 10.2 10.0 8.4 6.5 4.3 2.6
Ella Garvin 21.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.9 4.1 5.3 6.7 8.4 10.0 11.0 12.4 11.9 9.6
Kristiana Read 25.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.1 3.3 4.7 7.6 10.5 14.0
Chyane Dansby 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.5
Rachel Schwab 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1