Rochester
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #52
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #13
Logansport Regional Rank #3
Manchester Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 13th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 546 787 697 817 635 661 701 774 621
Team Adjusted Rating 660 697 668 635 661 701 599 496
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
67  Madilyn Calloway 11 19:28 19:24 19:24 19:28 19:19 19:41 19:31 19:49 19:17 19:31
200  Zoe Seward 10 20:22 21:42 22:05 22:44 21:17 21:08 20:39 20:25 20:07
283  Araceli Ochoa 10 20:37 20:25 20:17 20:42 20:11 20:41 21:20
580  McKendyll Bradley 10 21:33 22:42 22:58 22:26 22:33 21:44 21:17
953  Madison Heinzmann 10 22:29 23:19 22:30 22:07 22:08 22:36 23:06 22:55 22:13
1,200  Elena Bode 11 22:59 23:40 23:27 24:05 23:00 23:56 23:41 23:33 22:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.9 294 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.3 6.1 10.3 15.4 20.5 24.4 16.2 1.8 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.9 86 0.6 5.3 93.6 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 60 1.1 8.6 90.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 83.9% 59.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 83.9% 83.9%
Zoe Seward 0.7% 103.0 0.7% 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 100% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.3 6.5 7.4 8.4 9.7 10.2 10.2 8.4 7.5 6.1 4.2 3.5 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Zoe Seward 100% 40.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.7 100.0%
Araceli Ochoa 100% 57.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 99.8%
McKendyll Bradley 100% 114.2 36.8%
Madison Heinzmann 100% 151.9 0.1%
Elena Bode 100% 161.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 100% 2.9 0.2 8.1 48.6 25.8 12.1 4.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Zoe Seward 100% 9.0 0.4 2.2 6.8 13.4 14.1 12.9 11.7 10.1 8.5 6.1 4.8 3.4 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Araceli Ochoa 100% 12.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 4.8 6.2 8.3 9.4 10.2 9.7 10.1 9.5 7.6 6.1 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 100.0%
McKendyll Bradley 100% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.9 100.0%
Madison Heinzmann 100% 46.0 100.0%
Elena Bode 100% 54.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 1.6 0.4 89.0 9.2 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Zoe Seward 5.5 0.0 8.3 18.1 16.4 15.0 13.4 10.0 7.9 5.6 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Araceli Ochoa 8.4 0.8 3.4 7.9 8.5 10.5 13.3 13.1 14.0 13.5 8.2 3.9 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
McKendyll Bradley 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.5 7.6 9.4 12.5 16.9 21.1 11.6 6.7 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Madison Heinzmann 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 7.8 18.7 19.0 16.9
Elena Bode 28.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.5