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Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #104
New Haven Semi-State Rank #25
Marion Regional Rank #6
Bellmont Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/16 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 885 931 910 844 840 1,163 883 960
Team Adjusted Rating 931 910 844 840 855 883 960
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
410  Marissa Van De Weg 11 21:03 20:59 20:49 20:44 21:05 20:51 21:08 21:33
548  Olivia Reynolds 12 21:26 21:10 21:06 20:58 21:26 21:10 21:40 22:28
855  Gabi Landis 9 22:14 22:48 22:52 22:41 22:05 22:10 21:55 22:06
1,117  Avree Armes 12 22:50 22:49 23:06 22:36 22:48 22:39 22:53 22:58
1,214  Abby Jauregui 9 23:01 23:34 23:04 22:52 22:23 23:12 23:08
Josie Shoaf 9 24:32 24:52 24:42 24:58 24:57 24:32 24:07
Brooke Fruechte 9 25:06 24:15 24:57 24:47 25:26 25:23 25:19
Elise Faurote 11 25:47 25:19 25:06 27:08
Shelby Oliver 11 26:10 26:12 26:15 26:24 25:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.9 147 0.0 20.0 69.6 9.3 1.2
Sectionals 100% 3.8 115 45.0 37.2 13.4 4.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 99.0% 87.8 99.0% 99.0%
Olivia Reynolds 73.4% 108.2 73.4% 73.4%
Gabi Landis 0.4% 141.5 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 100% 19.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.1 4.7 6.2 8.1 9.1 9.8 9.2 9.5 8.1 7.5 5.8 4.2 100.0%
Olivia Reynolds 100% 26.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.9 4.2 5.5 6.5 7.8 8.9 100.0%
Gabi Landis 100% 37.6 0.0 0.0 99.7%
Avree Armes 100% 46.1 83.0%
Abby Jauregui 100% 49.7 65.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 4.5 13.7 20.1 21.1 16.2 10.3 6.1 3.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
Olivia Reynolds 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.5 9.8 14.4 16.9 16.8 14.4 8.1 4.6 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
Gabi Landis 23.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.7 4.5 6.8 10.6 15.3 19.8 22.3
Avree Armes 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 4.3
Abby Jauregui 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8