Cascade
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #129
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #38
Ben Davis Regional Rank #8
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Puckett Invitational Jeremy Wright Memorial Danville Invitational Hendricks County Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Tiger Cub Invite Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/16 8/22 8/29 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/22 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,039 1,033 916 1,024 NEI 990 1,028 1,018 1,132 1,057 1,203 1,128
Team Adjusted Rating 1,033 916 1,024 NEI 990 1,028 1,018 1,132 1,057 1,018 1,128
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Puckett Invitational Jeremy Wright Memorial Danville Invitational Hendricks County Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Tiger Cub Invite Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
598  Molley Cook 11 21:35 22:07 21:21 21:49 NEI 21:54 21:51 21:35 21:55 21:25 21:17 21:48 21:14 21:25
751  Emma Parsons 12 21:58 21:36 21:40 22:03 NEI 21:58 22:12 22:09 21:35 22:06 22:57
960  Carly Hicks 10 22:30 22:26 22:10 22:39 NEI 22:15 22:32 22:02 23:00 22:22 22:39 22:37 22:47
1,232  Courtney Shostrand 9 23:04 23:06 22:03 23:04 NEI 22:56 23:03 23:24 23:14 23:16 22:47 23:10
Abby Thornburg 10 24:01 23:46 24:09 23:15 NEI 23:15 23:17 23:35 25:52 24:34 24:07 24:08
Kathryn Tinsley 11 24:19 23:49 24:19 NEI 25:15
Maddie Tyler 10 24:23 24:26
Faith Needham 12 26:27 27:21 25:46 NEI 27:10 26:27 26:22 26:10 26:31 26:06 26:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 4.6 158 50.0 38.8 11.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molley Cook 75.4% 140.1 75.4% 75.4%
Emma Parsons 20.5% 151.4 20.5% 20.5%
Carly Hicks 0.3% 160.5 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molley Cook 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Emma Parsons 100% 40.8 100.0% 100.0%
Carly Hicks 99.8% 48.1 99.8% 99.8%
Courtney Shostrand 74.4% 57.3 74.4% 74.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molley Cook 21.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.1 3.3 5.0 6.5 10.4 13.4 18.1 22.1 9.1 3.7
Emma Parsons 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.9 11.3 24.8 20.6
Carly Hicks 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.4
Courtney Shostrand 35.6