All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Edgewood 5-Way |
Danville Invitational |
Mustang Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Clay City Invite |
Eagle Classic |
Western Indiana Conference |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County |
Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/5 |
9/8 |
9/12 |
9/22 |
9/26 |
9/29 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
532 |
508 |
500 |
643 |
493 |
979 |
482 |
624 |
973 |
|
567 |
577 |
609 |
839 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
508 |
500 |
643 |
493 |
742 |
482 |
582 |
618 |
|
567 |
577 |
609 |
554 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Edgewood 5-Way |
Danville Invitational |
Mustang Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Clay City Invite |
Eagle Classic |
Western Indiana Conference |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County |
Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 7 |
Annalyssa Crain |
12 |
18:19 |
18:06 |
18:20 |
18:54 |
17:57 |
19:19 |
17:48 |
18:28 |
18:54 |
|
18:17 |
18:33 |
19:43 |
|
|
| 28 |
Clara Crain |
10 |
18:50 |
19:05 |
18:45 |
19:36 |
18:56 |
19:38 |
18:47 |
18:58 |
18:58 |
|
19:05 |
18:58 |
18:45 |
18:48 |
18:42 |
| 226 |
Emma Bitner |
11 |
20:27 |
19:49 |
20:06 |
20:37 |
20:26 |
|
20:10 |
20:16 |
|
|
20:35 |
20:50 |
20:50 |
20:29 |
|
| 874 |
Abby Evans |
11 |
22:17 |
22:50 |
23:16 |
23:16 |
22:44 |
24:49 |
22:52 |
23:57 |
23:27 |
|
22:32 |
22:05 |
21:55 |
22:37 |
|
| 1,265 |
Olivia Werner |
12 |
23:09 |
22:33 |
21:54 |
23:16 |
22:07 |
24:48 |
22:05 |
|
|
|
23:17 |
23:36 |
24:22 |
23:12 |
|
|
Annie Galindo |
11 |
23:48 |
24:55 |
23:43 |
23:25 |
24:04 |
25:23 |
23:33 |
23:09 |
|
|
23:30 |
|
23:50 |
24:05 |
|
|
Claire Bitner |
9 |
24:26 |
24:33 |
23:49 |
23:19 |
26:22 |
23:39 |
24:04 |
23:52 |
24:29 |
|
|
25:53 |
24:23 |
25:07 |
|
|
Riley Haskett |
9 |
24:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25:05 |
24:28 |
24:34 |
|
|
|
|
Piper Stephens |
9 |
24:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
25:10 |
|
|
25:01 |
|
|
|
24:28 |
|
|
Paige Perry |
10 |
26:32 |
|
|
27:52 |
|
|
|
|
26:35 |
26:23 |
26:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Olivia Doyle |
11 |
27:24 |
27:44 |
|
27:10 |
28:29 |
26:46 |
27:49 |
|
26:55 |
26:15 |
28:05 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
7.4 |
250 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
2.0 |
61.9 |
27.4 |
6.8 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.1 |
105 |
|
|
0.4 |
90.1 |
9.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
67 |
|
0.4 |
99.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
8.5 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Clara Crain |
100% |
27.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emma Bitner |
11.5% |
123.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.5% |
11.5% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
1.0 |
62.3 |
27.1 |
7.4 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Clara Crain |
100% |
3.9 |
0.6 |
9.8 |
21.3 |
21.0 |
17.8 |
11.6 |
6.7 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Bitner |
100% |
40.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Evans |
100% |
134.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.7% |
| Olivia Werner |
100% |
151.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
1.0 |
96.1 |
3.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Clara Crain |
100% |
1.8 |
1.3 |
62.0 |
26.6 |
6.5 |
2.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Bitner |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
6.3 |
8.1 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Evans |
100% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Werner |
100% |
60.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
1.0 |
98.3 |
1.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Clara Crain |
1.6 |
1.4 |
85.9 |
8.8 |
3.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Bitner |
10.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
4.6 |
6.3 |
9.2 |
13.2 |
16.4 |
19.7 |
16.4 |
6.9 |
3.0 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Abby Evans |
22.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
5.9 |
47.7 |
30.4 |
8.1 |
| Olivia Werner |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
4.8 |
|
