Elkhart
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #72
New Haven Semi-State Rank #19
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 17th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Penn Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 708 694 643 706 724 715 744 714 713
Team Adjusted Rating 694 643 706 724 715 744 714 713
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
467  Irie Roll 12 21:13 21:11 20:43 21:14 20:49 21:01 21:57 21:37 21:10
510  Emma Hodges 11 21:20 21:15 20:56 21:19 21:29 21:45 21:23 21:22 21:10
512  Adley Keim 10 21:20 21:31 21:14 21:26 21:22 21:08 20:58 21:16 21:52
606  Rachel Terrell 11 21:37 21:21 21:28 21:20 21:59 22:11 21:44 21:33 21:25
810  Ashlyn Anderson 9 22:08 22:39 22:10 22:15 22:14 21:54 22:10 21:56 22:03
1,013  Brooke Richardson 11 22:36 22:05 22:51 22:14 21:54 22:47 23:41
1,059  Elise Walker 9 22:43 22:27 22:50 23:02 22:19 23:03 22:33
1,400  Gabby Scott 12 23:26 23:08 23:38 23:39 23:11 23:20 23:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 17.1 428 0.1 0.3 1.2 5.2 15.3 17.3 19.1 16.9 14.0 10.5
Regionals 100% 3.5 123 0.1 62.5 24.4 12.7 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 61 0.2 99.5 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Irie Roll 100% 98.2 94.6%
Emma Hodges 100% 104.7 88.1%
Adley Keim 100% 105.0 88.4%
Rachel Terrell 100% 122.0 58.6%
Ashlyn Anderson 100% 145.7 6.6%
Brooke Richardson 100% 157.1 0.1%
Elise Walker 100% 159.5 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Irie Roll 100% 19.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 4.4 7.2 9.7 11.0 10.9 9.8 8.4 6.9 5.9 4.9 4.0 100.0%
Emma Hodges 100% 21.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.7 5.4 7.1 8.2 8.6 8.5 7.8 7.5 6.8 5.8 100.0%
Adley Keim 100% 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.5 5.5 7.3 8.1 9.0 8.6 8.0 7.1 6.5 6.1 100.0%
Rachel Terrell 100% 28.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.4 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.6 100.0%
Ashlyn Anderson 100% 39.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Brooke Richardson 100% 50.7 100.0%
Elise Walker 100% 54.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Irie Roll 8.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 12.8 17.0 18.9 16.9 11.6 8.4 5.4 3.2 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Emma Hodges 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.9 10.0 13.6 15.8 15.7 12.7 9.8 6.9 4.5 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Adley Keim 9.3 0.1 0.6 5.3 9.6 14.2 15.1 15.2 12.7 10.4 7.0 4.1 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Terrell 12.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.0 7.1 11.7 13.8 13.9 12.6 11.4 8.9 6.7 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ashlyn Anderson 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.9 7.5 10.2 14.1 16.3 13.8 9.5 6.9 4.5 2.9 1.8
Brooke Richardson 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.6 5.2 7.4 8.7 10.1 9.6 10.1
Elise Walker 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.4 3.9 5.1 7.2 8.3 9.3