All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Titan Invitational |
North Harrison Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Crawford County Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/3 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
256 |
234 |
977 |
231 |
256 |
301 |
326 |
307 |
281 |
307 |
283 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
234 |
256 |
231 |
256 |
301 |
326 |
307 |
281 |
307 |
283 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Titan Invitational |
North Harrison Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Crawford County Sectional |
Crawford County Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 29 |
Jaydon Cirincione |
11 |
18:52 |
18:46 |
|
18:59 |
18:56 |
19:07 |
19:17 |
19:00 |
18:33 |
19:08 |
18:58 |
| 57 |
Kaitlyn Stewart |
9 |
19:24 |
19:31 |
|
19:27 |
19:34 |
19:55 |
20:15 |
20:09 |
19:55 |
19:48 |
19:15 |
| 71 |
Savanna Liddle |
10 |
19:32 |
19:00 |
|
19:13 |
19:33 |
19:44 |
19:58 |
19:42 |
19:25 |
19:28 |
19:38 |
| 189 |
Sydney Baxter |
12 |
20:21 |
20:41 |
|
20:23 |
20:23 |
20:26 |
20:35 |
20:37 |
20:42 |
20:10 |
20:12 |
| 277 |
Natalie Clare |
12 |
20:35 |
20:04 |
|
20:07 |
20:20 |
20:40 |
20:28 |
20:31 |
20:34 |
21:11 |
21:05 |
| 577 |
Meredith Bieledeld |
11 |
21:33 |
21:37 |
|
21:41 |
23:08 |
22:01 |
21:58 |
|
21:32 |
21:17 |
21:39 |
| 604 |
Ella Neafus |
10 |
21:36 |
21:27 |
|
21:30 |
21:13 |
|
21:13 |
|
21:30 |
22:00 |
22:28 |
| 634 |
Kylee Lewellen |
11 |
21:41 |
21:39 |
21:54 |
21:56 |
20:57 |
21:19 |
22:26 |
|
|
|
|
| 693 |
Claudia Pearce |
9 |
21:49 |
21:44 |
|
22:15 |
22:24 |
21:45 |
21:18 |
21:47 |
|
|
|
| 742 |
Vanessa Seymour |
11 |
21:56 |
21:55 |
22:05 |
22:33 |
23:08 |
21:10 |
21:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 749 |
Emerson Elliott |
9 |
21:58 |
22:09 |
22:21 |
22:16 |
21:55 |
21:40 |
21:19 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
| 750 |
Megan Carey |
11 |
21:58 |
22:03 |
|
21:44 |
21:55 |
21:37 |
22:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,112 |
Ella Thompson |
12 |
22:49 |
22:53 |
22:37 |
23:16 |
23:17 |
22:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,312 |
Allie Main |
9 |
23:15 |
23:32 |
23:31 |
23:51 |
23:09 |
22:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,340 |
Hallie Mosier |
10 |
23:19 |
23:33 |
23:09 |
23:51 |
23:37 |
22:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ginger Atzinger |
9 |
24:00 |
24:30 |
|
24:22 |
24:02 |
23:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
9.1 |
301 |
|
|
0.6 |
3.0 |
9.0 |
11.8 |
12.0 |
12.5 |
10.9 |
9.5 |
8.1 |
6.4 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.6 |
106 |
2.0 |
53.2 |
28.2 |
14.4 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
28 |
99.0 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
17 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaydon Cirincione |
100% |
29.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Kaitlyn Stewart |
100% |
56.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
99.5% |
| Savanna Liddle |
100% |
66.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
98.3% |
| Sydney Baxter |
100% |
133.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.8% |
| Natalie Clare |
100% |
153.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.4% |
| Meredith Bieledeld |
100% |
194.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Ella Neafus |
100% |
195.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaydon Cirincione |
100% |
4.2 |
2.3 |
8.2 |
17.2 |
19.5 |
18.5 |
13.7 |
8.6 |
5.2 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaitlyn Stewart |
100% |
11.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
4.6 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Savanna Liddle |
100% |
14.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Baxter |
100% |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Natalie Clare |
100% |
46.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Meredith Bieledeld |
100% |
97.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Ella Neafus |
100% |
100.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaydon Cirincione |
100% |
1.2 |
42.0 |
52.6 |
4.9 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaitlyn Stewart |
100% |
3.1 |
0.3 |
4.8 |
41.8 |
30.3 |
15.3 |
5.4 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Savanna Liddle |
100% |
4.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
15.9 |
32.5 |
29.7 |
13.3 |
5.6 |
1.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Baxter |
100% |
8.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
3.8 |
9.4 |
19.7 |
31.1 |
18.1 |
9.8 |
4.4 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Natalie Clare |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
5.3 |
12.8 |
23.7 |
20.5 |
14.5 |
9.5 |
5.3 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Meredith Bieledeld |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
7.4 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
12.0 |
11.5 |
9.5 |
7.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Neafus |
100% |
22.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
7.9 |
10.1 |
11.8 |
12.1 |
10.5 |
8.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaydon Cirincione |
1.0 |
98.0 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaitlyn Stewart |
1.7 |
1.7 |
68.2 |
29.0 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Savanna Liddle |
2.3 |
0.3 |
28.8 |
66.9 |
4.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sydney Baxter |
4.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
26.8 |
48.0 |
19.0 |
4.7 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Natalie Clare |
5.6 |
|
|
|
4.5 |
18.5 |
45.4 |
22.1 |
6.8 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Meredith Bieledeld |
10.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
3.7 |
7.6 |
14.9 |
31.3 |
26.4 |
10.0 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ella Neafus |
11.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
5.4 |
11.6 |
25.8 |
31.9 |
13.8 |
5.5 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
