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State Rank #18
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
West Noble Regional Rank #3
Northrop Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/25 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 332 307 1,253 309 271 317 333 375 371 369 398 376
Team Adjusted Rating 296 332 299 271 317 333 375 371 350 367 363
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
14  Addison Knoblauch 9 18:32 18:01 18:26 18:02 18:07 18:19 18:00 18:49 18:45 19:25 19:47
211  Amelia Faber 11 20:24 20:16 20:14 20:12 20:32 20:24 20:45
223  Reagan Albers 10 20:27 20:28 20:32 20:23 20:10 20:30 20:42 21:43 20:46 20:39 20:18
227  Claire Weidler 12 20:27 20:37 21:19 21:02 20:46 20:21 20:31 20:22 20:18
282  Elise Peckinpaugh 10 20:37 20:00 19:56 19:48 20:50 20:18 21:26 20:39 20:36 21:12 20:43
301  Lauren Richards 11 20:40 21:15 20:42 20:34 20:24
324  Lauren Saddington 9 20:47 21:32 20:41 20:53 20:39 20:56 20:45 20:46 20:39 20:39
338  Heidi Warner 12 20:48 21:24 21:43 20:31 21:04 21:25 20:38 20:58 20:39
368  Anna Denice 11 20:56 20:22 20:37 20:12 20:59 21:15 20:57 21:35
470  Gabrielle Kiess 10 21:13 22:09 22:12 22:28 22:11 21:53 21:23 21:04
710  Arianna Osborn 9 21:52 21:56 21:28 22:05 21:23 22:35 21:45
730  Audrey Gardner 10 21:55 21:24 21:35 22:06 21:41 22:45
1,046  Shelby Kuperus 9 22:41 23:46 22:05 22:39
1,091  Kiera Hunter 11 22:46 22:47
1,136  Cate Clark 12 22:52 22:47 22:44 23:03
1,137  Josie Freeman 10 22:52 22:38 22:34 23:22
1,259  Lindsay McGuire 9 23:08 23:49 22:46
Mackenzie Batz 9 23:34 24:34 23:52 22:39
Katie Scardina 12 23:47 23:13 24:19 23:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 17.5 420 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.9 4.1 4.7 5.2 6.1 6.8 7.5 8.1 8.4 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.8 2.7
Semi-State 100% 5.5 190 0.1 6.3 15.0 28.3 33.1 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.9 90 13.9 79.0 7.1 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 79 15.1 77.2 7.7 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.3 3.3 4.0 4.7 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.0 5.1 4.6 5.1 4.6 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.1 100.0%
Amelia Faber 100% 138.8 1.3%
Reagan Albers 100% 141.9 0.9%
Claire Weidler 100% 142.0 0.6%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 156.2 0.1%
Lauren Saddington 100% 166.7 0.0%
Heidi Warner 100% 168.6 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 4.3 0.7 6.8 18.5 19.0 17.4 12.3 9.7 7.2 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Amelia Faber 100% 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 96.5%
Reagan Albers 100% 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 94.9%
Claire Weidler 100% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 95.2%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 65.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.9%
Lauren Saddington 100% 73.8 68.3%
Heidi Warner 100% 75.1 0.0 63.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 1.9 1.5 54.9 20.4 12.0 11.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Amelia Faber 100% 21.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.9 3.4 4.1 5.5 6.4 6.9 7.4 7.5 7.1 6.8 6.4 5.2 100.0%
Reagan Albers 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.3 5.0 5.7 6.5 6.3 7.2 7.2 6.8 6.7 6.0 100.0%
Claire Weidler 100% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.8 7.0 6.9 7.1 6.9 6.3 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.2 2.2 2.6 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.7 5.8 6.5 100.0%
Lauren Saddington 100% 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.7 100.0%
Heidi Warner 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 1.9 1.5 55.0 19.5 12.8 10.9 0.3 0.0
Amelia Faber 17.6 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.6 3.4 4.6 5.9 7.1 8.9 8.3 8.9 8.4 7.5 7.0 6.3 5.4 3.9 2.8
Reagan Albers 18.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.7 2.8 4.0 5.2 5.8 7.4 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.4 7.7 6.7 6.0 4.7 3.8
Claire Weidler 18.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.8 3.7 5.5 6.2 7.0 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.4 7.7 6.8 5.8 5.2 4.3
Elise Peckinpaugh 22.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.4 2.8 4.1 4.8 6.2 6.8 7.8 8.3 8.9 8.7 8.7
Lauren Saddington 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.2 2.7 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 8.2 8.4
Heidi Warner 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.2 3.9 5.1 6.4 7.0 9.1