Northridge
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #36
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Concord Invitational NLC Round Robin Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/1 9/12 9/17 9/24 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 450 636 509 554 535 729 513 517 461 405
Team Adjusted Rating 636 509 554 535 562 513 517 461 405
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Concord Invitational NLC Round Robin Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
70  Haylee Hile 10 19:31 20:12 19:50 19:31 19:23 19:47 19:50 19:54 19:30 19:17 19:53
172  Tame Baylis 10 20:15 19:53 20:12 20:51 19:53 20:12 20:21 20:15 20:25
187  Clare Ritchie 11 20:21 20:58 20:22 20:52 20:59 20:25 20:22 20:39 20:19 20:06
411  Emma Long 10 21:03 21:47 21:35 21:21 21:01 21:34 21:35 21:11 21:09 20:48
619  Ella Hoefer 11 21:39 23:26 22:00 22:07 22:53 22:47 22:00 22:04 21:46 21:24
865  Kylie McMann 10 22:16 22:59 24:29 23:41 NEI 23:27 22:59 23:08 22:11 22:00
1,060  Bria Jones 9 22:43 24:06 22:56 22:19 23:04 NEI 23:07 22:56 23:16 22:25 22:27
1,428  Delaney Lopez 11 23:29 23:17 23:31 23:21 23:05 24:09 23:31
Hayley Troyer 11 23:38 24:24 23:26 23:38 23:12 23:34 23:26
Karsyn Smaka 10 24:19 25:32 23:41 24:54 25:48 NEI 23:39 23:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 8.3 256 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.9 22.8 27.0 20.7 11.5 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.0 65 0.6 99.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 30 99.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 89.4% 63.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.4% 89.4%
Tame Baylis 4.2% 106.4 4.2% 4.2%
Clare Ritchie 2.0% 109.0 2.0% 2.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 100% 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.4 5.0 7.1 8.3 8.4 8.1 7.8 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.0 3.9 3.3 3.2 2.7 2.3 100.0%
Tame Baylis 100% 45.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 49.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 88.2 98.7%
Ella Hoefer 100% 124.2 53.9%
Kylie McMann 100% 149.4 2.4%
Bria Jones 100% 159.6 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 100% 1.1 47.3 22.4 13.8 8.4 4.5 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tame Baylis 100% 8.4 0.0 0.7 2.0 4.2 6.8 9.9 11.2 11.0 10.9 10.7 10.5 8.7 7.0 4.1 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 9.6 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.6 7.3 8.7 10.1 10.8 10.5 11.6 10.8 10.6 7.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.9 10.6 15.6 14.4 11.7 8.7 7.3 5.3 4.2 3.4 2.6 2.0 100.0%
Ella Hoefer 100% 29.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.4 5.1 100.0%
Kylie McMann 100% 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Bria Jones 100% 54.1 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haylee Hile 1.0 80.4 19.2 0.4 0.0
Tame Baylis 3.0 0.1 9.3 41.0 33.5 14.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Clare Ritchie 3.5 0.0 4.4 25.7 39.1 28.0 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Long 6.5 0.0 0.2 4.2 35.2 22.5 12.9 9.2 6.5 4.1 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Ella Hoefer 13.2 0.2 1.5 3.2 4.8 6.6 7.9 10.5 12.5 13.1 11.9 10.6 7.6 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Kylie McMann 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.8 6.5 9.4 13.7 14.4 12.8 10.2 7.7 5.7 4.0
Bria Jones 26.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.0 5.7 6.9 8.1 9.3