All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Warsaw Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/25 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/19 |
9/24 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
Team Rating |
306 |
305 |
289 |
240 |
950 |
339 |
294 |
1,154 |
NEI |
272 |
331 |
538 |
361 |
380 |
310 |
Team Adjusted Rating | |
283 |
289 |
240 |
306 |
304 |
294 |
306 |
NEI |
272 |
331 |
299 |
337 |
380 |
310 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Warsaw Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
83 |
Julie Smith |
11 |
19:41 |
|
19:50 |
19:52 |
|
19:59 |
19:50 |
|
|
19:28 |
19:52 |
|
19:50 |
19:27 |
19:41 |
101 |
Nicole Marshall |
12 |
19:49 |
20:00 |
19:44 |
19:33 |
|
|
19:49 |
|
|
19:37 |
19:59 |
19:33 |
19:48 |
20:57 |
19:46 |
148 |
Morgan Gannon |
11 |
20:08 |
19:56 |
19:48 |
19:34 |
|
|
19:50 |
|
|
19:41 |
19:59 |
|
20:18 |
20:40 |
22:30 |
163 |
Mary Eubank |
9 |
20:11 |
19:41 |
20:08 |
19:32 |
|
19:52 |
20:08 |
|
|
20:19 |
20:28 |
|
20:37 |
20:14 |
20:18 |
171 |
Ava Gillis |
12 |
20:15 |
20:29 |
20:24 |
19:56 |
|
20:14 |
20:10 |
|
|
20:09 |
20:25 |
20:21 |
|
20:21 |
20:08 |
217 |
Ellie Stabnik |
9 |
20:25 |
20:14 |
20:10 |
20:21 |
|
20:42 |
20:17 |
|
|
20:18 |
21:01 |
|
20:46 |
21:00 |
20:17 |
244 |
Haley Makowski |
12 |
20:29 |
21:20 |
|
21:05 |
|
20:26 |
20:21 |
|
|
20:30 |
21:06 |
|
20:44 |
21:04 |
20:21 |
378 |
Nikki Jerzak |
11 |
20:58 |
20:23 |
20:51 |
20:50 |
|
20:23 |
20:39 |
|
|
21:10 |
21:28 |
21:12 |
21:10 |
|
|
440 |
Reagan Hoke |
12 |
21:08 |
20:12 |
21:13 |
21:14 |
|
20:59 |
21:11 |
|
|
20:45 |
21:44 |
21:16 |
|
|
|
487 |
Mackenzie Holland |
11 |
21:16 |
20:30 |
21:03 |
21:00 |
|
20:53 |
21:34 |
|
|
|
22:16 |
|
|
|
|
656 |
Kaylie Hanyzewski |
9 |
21:44 |
21:44 |
21:29 |
21:44 |
|
21:29 |
21:41 |
|
|
21:37 |
21:54 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
854 |
Yazmine Juarez |
9 |
22:14 |
22:40 |
21:42 |
21:41 |
|
22:12 |
21:19 |
|
|
23:20 |
22:11 |
22:41 |
|
|
|
912 |
Megan Ungerecht |
12 |
22:23 |
22:43 |
22:19 |
|
21:57 |
22:34 |
22:18 |
|
NEI |
|
22:22 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
978 |
Molly Chapla |
10 |
22:32 |
22:35 |
23:14 |
|
22:05 |
22:37 |
22:22 |
|
NEI |
|
22:40 |
|
|
|
|
1,026 |
Kassidy Pentelow |
9 |
22:39 |
23:04 |
22:32 |
|
22:20 |
22:50 |
22:57 |
|
NEI |
|
22:36 |
|
|
|
|
1,034 |
Linden Ransbottom |
10 |
22:40 |
23:01 |
22:26 |
|
22:32 |
22:17 |
|
|
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,131 |
Katie Cassbon |
12 |
22:51 |
22:56 |
23:06 |
|
24:29 |
23:00 |
|
22:21 |
|
22:26 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
|
1,142 |
Hannah Cussen |
12 |
22:53 |
22:39 |
|
|
22:45 |
23:17 |
22:49 |
|
NEI |
|
23:05 |
|
|
|
|
1,279 |
Teagan Oldfather |
9 |
23:11 |
25:04 |
23:01 |
|
23:13 |
23:08 |
|
23:10 |
NEI |
|
22:50 |
|
|
|
|
1,315 |
Morgan Collins |
10 |
23:15 |
|
25:29 |
|
24:18 |
23:12 |
|
22:59 |
NEI |
|
22:38 |
|
|
|
|
1,341 |
Abby Stevens |
10 |
23:19 |
23:05 |
23:15 |
|
23:25 |
24:03 |
|
22:58 |
NEI |
|
23:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sia Grewal |
9 |
23:44 |
24:05 |
23:09 |
|
22:55 |
|
|
27:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Maycie Cummings |
9 |
23:51 |
24:03 |
25:11 |
|
23:59 |
24:06 |
|
23:33 |
NEI |
|
23:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rachael Gindling |
9 |
24:09 |
24:39 |
23:05 |
|
|
|
|
24:03 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sheela Soni |
11 |
24:17 |
24:31 |
|
|
|
24:34 |
|
24:29 |
NEI |
|
22:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paige Horsley |
10 |
32:11 |
|
21:10 |
|
34:01 |
|
|
|
NEI |
|
32:58 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
100% |
12.5 |
350 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
6.5 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
Semi-State |
100% |
3.8 |
147 |
|
3.4 |
41.9 |
33.2 |
13.0 |
6.6 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
30 |
99.5 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
19 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Julie Smith |
100% |
78.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
65.2% |
Nicole Marshall |
100% |
89.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.0% |
Morgan Gannon |
100% |
115.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.7% |
Mary Eubank |
100% |
120.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.7% |
Ava Gillis |
100% |
126.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.8% |
Ellie Stabnik |
100% |
140.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
Haley Makowski |
100% |
145.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Julie Smith |
100% |
20.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
Nicole Marshall |
100% |
25.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
Morgan Gannon |
100% |
38.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
Mary Eubank |
100% |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
Ava Gillis |
100% |
45.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
Ellie Stabnik |
100% |
54.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Haley Makowski |
100% |
57.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Julie Smith |
100% |
2.3 |
17.8 |
24.2 |
23.0 |
18.1 |
10.1 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Nicole Marshall |
100% |
3.5 |
6.3 |
13.8 |
18.3 |
21.5 |
19.9 |
9.5 |
5.5 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Morgan Gannon |
100% |
6.6 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
5.9 |
11.8 |
17.9 |
17.2 |
13.9 |
10.5 |
7.7 |
5.3 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Mary Eubank |
100% |
7.4 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
3.7 |
7.8 |
14.5 |
15.9 |
15.0 |
12.9 |
10.4 |
7.7 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Ava Gillis |
100% |
8.5 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
8.8 |
12.0 |
14.7 |
14.4 |
13.2 |
10.7 |
8.5 |
5.3 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Ellie Stabnik |
100% |
10.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
7.5 |
10.5 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
15.0 |
12.3 |
9.3 |
5.1 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
Haley Makowski |
100% |
11.6 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
4.4 |
7.8 |
10.3 |
13.5 |
16.1 |
15.4 |
13.2 |
7.6 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Julie Smith |
1.3 |
39.3 |
38.7 |
17.2 |
3.6 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nicole Marshall |
2.1 |
15.0 |
31.3 |
37.7 |
10.8 |
3.7 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Morgan Gannon |
4.1 |
0.7 |
3.7 |
12.6 |
31.0 |
23.5 |
15.5 |
7.7 |
3.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mary Eubank |
4.7 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
7.4 |
21.7 |
25.6 |
20.8 |
12.3 |
6.2 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ava Gillis |
5.4 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
4.2 |
14.2 |
21.5 |
24.4 |
17.7 |
10.4 |
4.6 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ellie Stabnik |
6.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
3.8 |
7.8 |
14.7 |
24.9 |
25.2 |
15.0 |
6.4 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Makowski |
7.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
5.3 |
9.9 |
18.5 |
29.0 |
22.3 |
9.9 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|