St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #78
New Haven Semi-State Rank #20
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #4
Riley Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/3 9/12 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 751 768 754 779 909 801 770 807 723
Team Adjusted Rating 726 754 779 798 801 770 786 716
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Northwood Invite South Bend City Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
518  Maeve Kearney 12 21:21 21:14 21:49 21:19 21:16 21:14 21:25 21:30 21:13
556  Mary Clare Elliott 11 21:28 21:51 22:03 22:21 22:12 21:52 21:56 21:12
578  Alexis Kintzele 12 21:33 21:09 21:17 21:38 21:51 21:44 21:27 21:36 21:29
618  Ava Rousseve 10 21:39 21:22 21:44 21:33 22:09 21:45 21:40 21:34 21:30
883  Tess Collins 10 22:19 21:38 22:08 23:18
907  Kiley McGuire 10 22:22 23:00 21:56 22:06 22:21 22:14 22:23 22:40 22:26
1,086  Lexi Juday 10 22:46 22:55 22:52 23:01 22:16 22:45 23:08
1,416  Iris Karafa 23:28 23:04 23:28 23:24 23:48
1,427  Grace Yuhas 11 23:29 23:29 23:28 23:25 23:31
Mia Ritschard 10 23:57 24:52 24:51 24:31 24:51 23:21 23:40 23:41 23:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 18.3 453 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 5.2 8.8 13.6 17.7 22.6 30.7
Regionals 100% 4.1 135 0.0 24.5 40.7 32.4 2.1 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.4 84 64.3 35.7 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maeve Kearney 100% 106.0 87.1%
Mary Clare Elliott 100% 112.8 77.3%
Alexis Kintzele 100% 117.5 68.1%
Ava Rousseve 100% 124.0 53.8%
Kiley McGuire 100% 152.1 1.1%
Lexi Juday 100% 160.3 0.0%
Iris Karafa 100% 170.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maeve Kearney 100% 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.2 5.6 6.8 7.5 8.1 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.0 6.7 100.0%
Mary Clare Elliott 100% 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.4 6.2 6.9 7.3 7.0 6.7 100.0%
Alexis Kintzele 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 5.0 5.3 5.8 5.8 6.4 100.0%
Ava Rousseve 100% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.6 100.0%
Kiley McGuire 100% 44.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lexi Juday 100% 55.2 98.1%
Iris Karafa 100% 68.7 51.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maeve Kearney 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 3.7 13.0 25.0 18.0 13.8 9.8 6.5 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mary Clare Elliott 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 7.0 13.8 16.3 16.4 13.6 10.8 7.9 5.7 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alexis Kintzele 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 8.2 12.7 14.5 14.7 12.8 11.2 8.7 6.2 3.7 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ava Rousseve 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 7.0 10.1 13.3 14.2 13.3 12.6 10.6 7.2 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
Kiley McGuire 23.3 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.3 5.2 9.9 13.2 13.4 12.8 12.0
Lexi Juday 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.6 6.3
Iris Karafa 34.5 0.0 0.0