Western
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #108
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #28
Logansport Regional Rank #6
Logansport Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Clinton Prairie Invitational Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional
Date 8/16 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17
Team Rating 916 NEI 951 1,022 1,004 862 939 912 887 880
Team Adjusted Rating NEI 951 929 1,004 862 939 912 887 880
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Clinton Prairie Invitational Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional
681  Cami Caldwell 10 21:48 NEI 22:11 22:19 22:08 21:58 21:54 21:32 21:40 21:33
741  Sarah Manuel 12 21:56 NEI 22:34 22:17 21:21 21:59 21:59 22:06 21:34
769  Lauren Bradley 9 22:01 NEI 21:15 21:46 22:13 21:35 22:23 22:01 22:07 22:14
991  Avery Shock 9 22:34 23:12 22:49 23:03 22:47 22:25 22:36 22:07 22:14
1,082  Destiny Herr 10 22:45 NEI 22:35 22:24 22:48 22:28 22:44 23:25 22:36 22:53
1,298  Olivia Shoemaker 11 23:13 NEI 23:27 23:36 23:27 23:23 22:51 22:54 23:22 22:55
Alivia Ford 12 23:53 23:06 23:30 23:27 23:50 24:03 27:06
Gracie Freeman 11 24:31 25:04 24:44 26:28 23:59 24:44
Kourtney Lechner 10 25:16 25:24 24:43 25:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.9 173 0.3 2.4 31.5 35.6 28.6 1.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.2 97 1.4 8.9 66.0 18.9 4.7 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cami Caldwell 12.7% 118.3 12.7% 12.7%
Sarah Manuel 4.5% 122.7 4.5% 4.5%
Lauren Bradley 2.4% 127.2 2.4% 2.4%
Avery Shock 0.0% 160.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cami Caldwell 100% 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 100.0%
Sarah Manuel 100% 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Lauren Bradley 100% 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Avery Shock 100% 47.2 99.3%
Destiny Herr 100% 50.6 97.3%
Olivia Shoemaker 100% 59.0 69.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cami Caldwell 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.1 5.7 11.5 19.2 19.0 14.0 9.9 6.6 3.7 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sarah Manuel 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 5.2 11.1 15.5 17.3 14.5 11.2 8.3 5.6 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
Lauren Bradley 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 3.0 7.0 12.0 15.3 15.8 13.4 11.2 8.1 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.2
Avery Shock 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.4 4.4 6.6 10.0 13.7 17.6 17.8 12.2
Destiny Herr 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.4 6.3 11.0 17.5 20.1
Olivia Shoemaker 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 3.4