Winamac
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #85
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #21
Logansport Regional Rank #5
Logansport Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Caston Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Hoosier North Athletic Conf. Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 9/5 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 779 784 792 813 914 770 874 758
Team Adjusted Rating 763 792 813 914 770 874 758
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Caston Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Hoosier North Athletic Conf. Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State
354  Margaret Smith 9 20:53 21:20 20:58 21:20 21:10 21:14 21:23 20:38
462  Kate Collins 11 21:13 20:42 21:27 21:15 20:46 21:21 21:06 21:35
516  Kelsey Wegner 9 21:21 21:23 21:08 21:20 21:18 21:23 21:32 21:17
720  Alexis Sheets 11 21:54 21:37 21:51 21:33 23:51 21:37 22:16 21:46
1,408  Bethany Poor 9 23:27 24:17 24:28 23:59 24:05 24:10 23:10
Emily Rausch 12 23:33 24:26 24:05 23:56 23:01 24:27 24:27
Kingsley Kroft 11 24:12 23:49 23:35 23:53 24:22 24:14 24:18 25:17
Rori Blackman 11 24:38 24:35 24:42
Lily Bennett 9 25:39 25:23 25:22 26:19
Ariana Gualajara 10 25:40 25:56 25:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 18.0 442 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.8 10.1 16.5 25.3 24.3 17.3
Regionals 100% 4.7 137 0.0 0.3 40.4 53.0 4.9 1.1 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.5 75 56.5 37.2 5.2 1.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 100% 74.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%
Kate Collins 100% 94.2 80.4%
Kelsey Wegner 100% 102.6 64.3%
Alexis Sheets 100% 131.8 7.1%
Bethany Poor 100% 167.8 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 100% 16.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.2 5.7 7.0 8.3 9.4 10.2 9.1 7.9 7.1 5.5 4.6 3.5 2.7 2.0 100.0%
Kate Collins 100% 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.2 4.7 5.7 6.6 6.9 7.7 7.6 8.0 7.5 100.0%
Kelsey Wegner 100% 26.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.8 4.6 5.9 6.1 6.4 7.2 100.0%
Alexis Sheets 100% 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Bethany Poor 100% 63.0 44.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 5.7 0.0 0.1 6.5 27.9 22.7 16.6 11.3 7.2 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Kate Collins 9.1 0.2 2.3 7.0 10.7 12.8 15.5 16.5 13.7 11.0 6.4 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Wegner 10.5 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.2 7.7 11.4 14.1 16.7 18.1 13.1 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alexis Sheets 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 3.6 7.5 17.4 14.6 13.4 12.7 9.7 7.4 4.9 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
Bethany Poor 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9