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State Rank #119
New Haven Semi-State Rank #30
Marion Regional Rank #6
Bellmont Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Norwell Bob Dahl Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/15 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 1,027 906 1,165 999 908 984 1,117 1,116 1,098
Team Adjusted Rating 906 1,043 999 908 984 1,117 1,116 1,041
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Norwell Bob Dahl Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
401  Marissa Van De Weg 12 21:13 20:45 21:00 21:15 21:19 20:56 21:20 21:20 21:26 21:14
503  Gabi Landis 10 21:32 21:17 21:11 21:32 21:27 21:35 21:37 21:56 21:42 21:20
1,102  Addison Gilbert 9 22:53 23:19 23:27 23:04 22:20 22:35 23:18 22:52 22:31
1,298  Madison Gerber 9 23:19 22:22 22:31 22:00 23:21 24:59 25:45
Abby Jauregui 10 23:58 23:11 24:26 24:09 23:51 23:43 23:41 23:59 24:21
Elise Faurote 12 24:56 27:17 26:41 26:57 27:09 25:40 26:59 24:30
Brooke Fruechte 10 25:04 25:20 25:13 25:21 24:31
Josie Shoaf 10 26:34 25:18 27:13 27:40 26:35 26:18 26:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.7 147 0.1 0.8 3.8 19.7 72.1 3.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.7 101 2.6 20.1 77.2 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 100% 80.6 100.0% 100.0%
Gabi Landis 99.9% 96.4 99.9% 99.9%
Addison Gilbert 4.5% 146.8 4.5% 4.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 100% 8.3 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.2 8.8 27.7 27.0 15.4 7.7 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gabi Landis 100% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.7 11.5 19.7 17.9 14.3 10.1 6.7 5.0 3.4 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Addison Gilbert 100% 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marissa Van De Weg 4.3 1.0 7.1 32.4 31.7 15.4 7.6 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Gabi Landis 6.4 0.0 0.5 4.2 13.1 23.4 22.9 15.7 9.1 5.8 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Addison Gilbert 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.2 8.4 13.6 15.1 13.9 12.2 10.0 6.5 4.8 3.2 2.2 1.3