All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Joe Harvey Circle City Conference |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
9/1 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
439 |
324 |
619 |
397 |
597 |
500 |
|
497 |
428 |
463 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
324 |
466 |
397 |
400 |
500 |
439 |
453 |
428 |
417 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Joe Harvey Circle City Conference |
Bishop Chatard Invitational |
Indiana Catholic Championship |
Golden Spike Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Indianapolis City Meet |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 1 |
Lily Cridge |
11 |
17:09 |
16:52 |
|
16:59 |
|
17:17 |
|
17:26 |
17:12 |
17:20 |
17:14 |
17:17 |
| 285 |
Alex Gantz |
12 |
20:43 |
20:12 |
21:00 |
20:31 |
20:09 |
21:03 |
|
|
21:06 |
|
|
|
| 317 |
Alex Teed |
10 |
20:50 |
20:44 |
21:04 |
20:44 |
20:58 |
20:49 |
|
20:54 |
20:37 |
20:29 |
21:31 |
|
| 374 |
Mallory Stewart |
12 |
21:07 |
|
21:14 |
20:52 |
|
21:40 |
|
21:09 |
20:57 |
21:05 |
|
|
| 415 |
Mayan Stickel |
12 |
21:15 |
20:31 |
21:04 |
|
|
21:30 |
|
21:27 |
21:13 |
21:16 |
|
|
| 448 |
Mary Bea Sowinski |
12 |
21:22 |
20:27 |
22:11 |
21:06 |
20:54 |
22:10 |
|
21:24 |
21:04 |
21:47 |
|
|
| 480 |
Mara Foley |
12 |
21:28 |
21:40 |
21:44 |
21:11 |
21:28 |
21:35 |
|
21:26 |
21:31 |
21:28 |
|
|
| 695 |
Caroline Clapacs |
11 |
22:02 |
21:39 |
21:51 |
21:54 |
22:26 |
21:55 |
|
22:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 750 |
Caroline Bell |
11 |
22:10 |
22:10 |
22:11 |
22:01 |
22:06 |
22:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 764 |
Deirdre Hostettler |
12 |
22:12 |
21:58 |
22:03 |
21:47 |
22:16 |
22:16 |
|
|
|
22:43 |
|
|
|
Camryn Hart |
9 |
23:34 |
22:46 |
23:34 |
23:14 |
23:39 |
|
24:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Morgan Engelmann |
10 |
23:34 |
|
|
23:51 |
23:13 |
|
23:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anna Zyromski |
10 |
23:41 |
|
23:09 |
23:42 |
25:00 |
|
23:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Madison Loiselle |
10 |
23:43 |
23:42 |
23:19 |
24:00 |
23:22 |
|
24:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Maisie Mcmahon |
11 |
24:25 |
23:52 |
24:04 |
24:38 |
24:13 |
|
25:01 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.5 |
180 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
8.8 |
33.3 |
55.2 |
2.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.1 |
93 |
|
16.1 |
66.6 |
13.4 |
3.5 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.0 |
94.1 |
5.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.0 |
98.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Alex Teed |
29.8% |
87.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
29.8% |
29.8% |
| Mallory Stewart |
4.4% |
97.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.4% |
4.4% |
| Mayan Stickel |
1.3% |
101.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
1.3% |
| Mary Bea Sowinski |
0.4% |
103.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Mara Foley |
0.2% |
116.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
100% |
1.0 |
98.8 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Alex Teed |
100% |
42.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Stewart |
100% |
49.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mayan Stickel |
100% |
52.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mary Bea Sowinski |
100% |
55.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mara Foley |
100% |
58.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Deirdre Hostettler |
100% |
73.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Cridge |
1.0 |
98.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alex Teed |
17.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
5.0 |
9.3 |
12.7 |
12.6 |
12.5 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
| Mallory Stewart |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
8.2 |
7.7 |
| Mayan Stickel |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
| Mary Bea Sowinski |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
| Mara Foley |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
| Deirdre Hostettler |
37.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
