All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Boonville Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invitational |
Patriot Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/28 |
9/2 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Boonville Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invitational |
Patriot Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 86 |
Emma Gresham |
11 |
19:42 |
20:13 |
|
|
20:08 |
20:10 |
19:37 |
19:47 |
19:31 |
19:51 |
19:31 |
19:58 |
| 533 |
Sydney Ulrey |
10 |
21:35 |
22:11 |
22:25 |
22:26 |
22:12 |
22:03 |
21:55 |
21:41 |
21:48 |
21:13 |
21:36 |
|
| 1,324 |
Taylor Sloan |
11 |
23:22 |
|
23:13 |
24:44 |
24:58 |
24:26 |
23:25 |
23:24 |
22:51 |
24:12 |
|
|
|
Emily Russell |
11 |
23:41 |
24:08 |
23:29 |
24:14 |
24:00 |
24:02 |
23:34 |
24:10 |
23:09 |
24:03 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Emma Gresham |
79.5% |
78.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
79.5% |
79.5% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Emma Gresham |
100% |
23.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sydney Ulrey |
93.0% |
90.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
93.0% |
93.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Emma Gresham |
100% |
4.2 |
2.4 |
5.0 |
10.2 |
24.2 |
45.2 |
11.9 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sydney Ulrey |
100% |
20.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Taylor Sloan |
100% |
52.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Emma Gresham |
1.2 |
34.7 |
63.7 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sydney Ulrey |
8.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.5 |
7.9 |
11.3 |
12.7 |
13.8 |
15.2 |
16.9 |
14.9 |
4.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Sloan |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
6.3 |
9.9 |
12.7 |
18.8 |
18.0 |
11.1 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
|
