All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
NIC Stomp |
Marion Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/21 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
213 |
175 |
372 |
183 |
444 |
228 |
1,026 |
245 |
308 |
302 |
226 |
225 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
175 |
372 |
183 |
444 |
228 |
213 |
245 |
239 |
236 |
226 |
225 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
NIC Stomp |
Marion Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 17 |
Bailey Ranta |
12 |
18:47 |
18:32 |
18:47 |
17:59 |
19:08 |
18:16 |
|
21:17 |
19:17 |
19:01 |
18:55 |
18:39 |
| 59 |
Catherine White |
12 |
19:26 |
18:39 |
20:33 |
19:04 |
19:58 |
19:12 |
|
19:19 |
19:30 |
19:34 |
19:26 |
19:27 |
| 102 |
Grace Carpenter |
11 |
19:47 |
20:53 |
20:49 |
20:21 |
21:48 |
20:10 |
|
19:44 |
|
20:03 |
19:50 |
19:39 |
| 105 |
Alyssa Dunlap |
11 |
19:48 |
19:31 |
20:42 |
19:50 |
21:07 |
19:59 |
|
19:52 |
20:03 |
|
20:10 |
19:40 |
| 112 |
Ciara Bonner |
10 |
19:49 |
19:44 |
20:39 |
19:34 |
21:05 |
22:08 |
|
19:43 |
|
19:50 |
19:39 |
20:29 |
| 190 |
Bri Gentry |
12 |
20:18 |
20:16 |
20:48 |
19:56 |
21:13 |
20:07 |
|
19:57 |
20:12 |
|
20:25 |
20:35 |
| 196 |
Payton Leady |
10 |
20:20 |
19:58 |
20:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 342 |
Isabella Smith |
12 |
20:59 |
20:50 |
21:28 |
21:15 |
|
20:40 |
|
20:49 |
|
21:09 |
|
21:04 |
| 348 |
Ali Sierazy |
10 |
21:01 |
20:30 |
22:12 |
20:24 |
21:54 |
20:48 |
|
21:02 |
20:56 |
|
21:07 |
|
| 428 |
Addison Leady |
12 |
21:18 |
21:35 |
20:53 |
21:22 |
22:15 |
21:18 |
|
21:12 |
21:08 |
21:19 |
|
|
| 612 |
Madison Trumbo |
10 |
21:47 |
|
21:06 |
21:38 |
22:11 |
21:58 |
|
21:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 818 |
Caroline Mills |
9 |
22:20 |
23:05 |
21:57 |
22:01 |
23:19 |
22:20 |
|
22:22 |
|
22:00 |
|
|
| 852 |
Sydney Szabo |
10 |
22:23 |
|
22:34 |
22:41 |
22:03 |
22:37 |
22:29 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 908 |
Alaina McGrogan |
9 |
22:30 |
|
22:39 |
22:39 |
|
22:47 |
22:22 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,059 |
Liz Hibshman |
12 |
22:48 |
|
|
22:12 |
22:18 |
24:51 |
22:45 |
23:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,093 |
Anna Johnston |
12 |
22:53 |
22:39 |
21:55 |
22:00 |
23:06 |
22:49 |
|
23:45 |
23:11 |
|
|
|
| 1,113 |
Alex Reed |
10 |
22:55 |
|
22:00 |
22:33 |
22:43 |
22:52 |
23:30 |
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,169 |
Veronica Wilgocki |
9 |
23:03 |
|
22:51 |
23:09 |
22:23 |
23:17 |
22:34 |
24:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,229 |
Olivia Kozak |
11 |
23:11 |
|
23:14 |
|
23:15 |
23:07 |
22:44 |
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,245 |
Rachel Cohen |
11 |
23:13 |
|
22:47 |
22:51 |
22:55 |
23:17 |
23:30 |
23:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alissa Capehart |
12 |
23:32 |
|
22:58 |
23:35 |
|
|
23:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mckenna Handley |
12 |
23:34 |
|
22:38 |
23:24 |
23:47 |
|
23:37 |
23:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ellie McClelland |
9 |
23:47 |
|
23:03 |
23:45 |
23:32 |
23:47 |
23:45 |
24:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kylia Peterson |
9 |
24:40 |
|
24:23 |
|
23:52 |
26:23 |
23:42 |
26:15 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
6.5 |
234 |
0.7 |
3.8 |
13.7 |
15.7 |
13.4 |
11.1 |
9.4 |
7.9 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.1 |
51 |
88.4 |
11.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
37 |
86.9 |
13.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.2 |
35 |
84.3 |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Ranta |
100% |
19.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Catherine White |
100% |
56.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
95.7% |
| Grace Carpenter |
100% |
92.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
63.8% |
| Alyssa Dunlap |
100% |
93.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
61.4% |
| Ciara Bonner |
100% |
95.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
58.2% |
| Bri Gentry |
100% |
137.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.0% |
| Isabella Smith |
100% |
167.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Ranta |
100% |
3.6 |
1.0 |
6.2 |
16.8 |
45.1 |
18.3 |
7.9 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Catherine White |
100% |
8.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
5.0 |
9.3 |
12.2 |
13.6 |
13.0 |
10.8 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Carpenter |
100% |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Alyssa Dunlap |
100% |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ciara Bonner |
100% |
17.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Bri Gentry |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Smith |
100% |
72.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Ranta |
100% |
2.5 |
6.0 |
17.5 |
55.6 |
19.5 |
1.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Catherine White |
100% |
4.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
14.0 |
41.0 |
22.8 |
10.8 |
5.3 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Grace Carpenter |
100% |
8.3 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
3.6 |
10.1 |
15.4 |
16.4 |
14.3 |
11.7 |
9.6 |
6.8 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Alyssa Dunlap |
100% |
8.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
3.0 |
9.3 |
13.2 |
15.2 |
15.4 |
12.9 |
9.9 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Ciara Bonner |
100% |
8.9 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
2.7 |
7.6 |
11.7 |
14.9 |
14.9 |
13.4 |
11.3 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bri Gentry |
100% |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
9.6 |
9.9 |
9.7 |
9.7 |
9.6 |
8.4 |
7.0 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Smith |
100% |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
8.4 |
10.1 |
11.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Ranta |
2.5 |
6.0 |
18.0 |
54.7 |
19.8 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Catherine White |
4.8 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
15.0 |
42.3 |
23.6 |
10.5 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grace Carpenter |
7.8 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
3.9 |
11.9 |
17.6 |
19.1 |
17.5 |
13.3 |
7.6 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alyssa Dunlap |
8.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.3 |
10.2 |
16.4 |
18.5 |
18.8 |
14.0 |
8.3 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ciara Bonner |
8.3 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
2.3 |
8.7 |
14.4 |
18.1 |
18.7 |
16.2 |
10.0 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bri Gentry |
13.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
5.4 |
12.7 |
15.3 |
14.0 |
13.3 |
13.5 |
15.0 |
5.6 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Isabella Smith |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.8 |
11.5 |
17.0 |
16.6 |
11.8 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
5.7 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
|
